Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals 08/27/2022 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Los Angeles Rams visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Saturday in a rematch of Super Bowl LVI.

The defending champions opened their preseason with a win over the Chargers before dropping a close game to the Houston Texans the last time out. Meanwhile, the Bengals lost to the Arizona Cardinals in their first preseason game and were beaten by the New York Giants in their second preseason assignment.

The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games played at home but the Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Bengals while also posting a 6-0 SU record in their last six road games.

This Super Bowl rematch won’t look the same as last season’s title game primarily because the two starters, Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow, are not expected to play in this preseason finale for both teams.

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams are 1-1 in the preseason and Matthew Stafford has not seen action. Stafford is dealing with an elbow injury and without him, the defending champions have gone to backup John Wolford and QB3 Bryce Perkins. Wolford passed for 142 yards against the Texans while Perkins threw for 113 passing yards on 9.5 yards per pass. Perkins has a total of 256 passing yards in the preseason.

Los Angeles lost Odell Beckham Jr. and Robert Woods but added Allen Robinson to their receiving corps. Their backfield is dealing with injuries as Cam Akers and Darrell Henderson Jr. are not expected to play in this game. Without the two RBs, Jake Funk and Kyren Williams are going to see plenty of action in this game.

The Rams allowed 312 yards against the Chargers two weeks ago and only 274 against the Texans. Their defense lost Von Miller but they added veteran linebacker Bobby Wagner from the Seahawks. Of course, Aaron Donald is still the leader of the defense and he looked better than ever last season.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals are looking for their first win of the preseason. Cincinnati lost 36-23 to the Arizona Cardinals in their preseason opener and lost a narrow 25-22 contest to the New York Giants last Sunday. Starting QB Joe Burrow will not be playing on Saturday, leaving Brandon Allen, Jake Browning, and rookie Dew Pllitt to run the Cincinnati offense. Allen has been a solid backup and has regular season numbers of 1,589 passing yards with a 16:10 TD: INT ratio. Meanwhile, Browning has played well in the preseason as he’s totaled 279 passing yards in two preseason games.

Tee Higgins is dealing with an injury and won’t be playing in this contest. Meanwhile, Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd aren’t expected to play either. Instead, look for rookie Kendric Pryor to figure heavily in this game. He has caught a total of 117 yards in two preseason games. Trayveon Williams rushed for 28 yards on 9 attempts last week while Samaje Perine averaged 4.5 yards per carry last season.

Who Wins?

The Rams have won six out of their last nine head-to-head meetings against the Bengals. Cincinnati is, however, 4-2 SU in their last six home games against the Rams.

Los Angeles Rams SU trends:

• The Rams are 5-1 SU in their last six games played.

• The Rams are 6-0 SU in their last six games played on the road.

• The Rams are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the AFC.

• The Rams are 3-7 SU in their last 10 preseason games.

• The Rams are 2-5 SU in their last seven preseason games on the road.

• The Rams are 3-5 SU in their last eight preseason road games as betting underdogs.

Cincinnati Bengals SU trends:

• The Bengals are 1-6 SU in their last seven games against the NFC

• The Bengals are 0-7 SU in their last seven games against the NFC West Division.

• The Bengals are 3-6 SU in their last nine preseason home games.

• The Bengals are 4-6 SU in their last 10 preseason games.

• The Bengals are 4-6 SU in their last 10 preseason home games as betting favorites.

The Rams are an impressive 6-0 SU in their last six road games played. However, this is preseason football and they have not shown consistency in these games. Sean McVay is just 7-10 SU in his career when coaching preseason games and the Rams have lost four out of their last five preseason contests, including last week’s 24-20 defeat to the Houston Texans.

Los Angeles lost right guard Logan Bruss to a torn ACL and MCL injuries during their last game against the Texans. His loss is a big blow to the Rams who were eyeing him as a potential starter. With the regular season just around the corner, Los Angeles doesn’t need another injury as they are already dealing with several right now. The best way to do that? Cruise on Saturday by just going through the motions.

Meanwhile, the same thing will be on Cincinnati’s mind. They are pretty much set up too and would just want to be healthy when the regular season begins. Joe Burrow isn’t expected to play here, as will Matthew Stafford. However, Cincinnati backup Brandon Allen has been solid in limited regular season playing time while Jake Browning threw for 190 and 89 in their first two preseason games.

The Bengals are also the team with more motivation to win this. They lost to the Rams at Super Bowl LVI and want to erase that defeat, even in a preseason game, before they start with a clean slate for the 2022 regular season. Cincinnati wants revenge while Los Angeles wants to avoid more injuries.

Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals

Rams vs Bengals ATS Betting

The Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games played against the Bengals. However, the home team is also 3-0-1 ATS in the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Los Angeles Rams ATS trends:

• The Rams are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played overall

• The Rams are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games overall.

• The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last seven preseason games.

• The Rams are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 preseason games on the road.

• The Rams are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 preseason road games as a betting underdog.

• The Rams are 1-4 ATS n their five games played on field turf.

• The Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last eight Saturday games played.

Cincinnati Bengals ATS trends:

• The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games played overall.

• The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

• The Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four Saturday games.

• The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games played on field turf.

• The Bengals are 3-6 ATS in their last nine preseason games at home.

• The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 preseason game.

• The Bengals are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 preseason home games as betting favorites.

The Rams are ready to defend their title and are already looking forward to the regular season. As stated above, they are already dealing with several injuries and don’t want to add more. They are a very good team already and the main factor for their success will be the health of the starters.

The same can be said of Cincinnati. The Bengals are coming off a season where they exceeded expectations. They came up short in the championship game and would like to have another chance to play there and perhaps win the next time around. That said, they would also want to get their revenge on the Rams for defeating them at Super Bowl LVI.

Both Stafford and Burrow are not expected to play in this game. There isn’t much difference between the quality of their backup QBs although the Bengals’ QBs have played well in the preseason. I won’t be surprised if Sean McVay rests all his starters in this game, giving the Bengals a good chance of winning by at least a field goal.

Prediction: Bengals -2.5

Rams vs Bengals Over/Under 

The total has gone under in 8 out of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The under is 4-1 in their last five meetings in Cincinnati

Los Angeles Rams over/under trends:

• The under s 5-1 in the Rams’ last six games played against the AF North.

• The under is 8-2 in the Rams’ last 10 games played in August.

• The under is 8-2 in the Rams’ last 10 preseason games played.

• The under is 6-4 in the Rams’ last 10 preseason road games.

• The under is 4-1 in the Rams’ last five preseason road games as betting underdogs.

Cincinnati Bengals over/under trends:

• The under is 5-2 in the Bengals’ last seven games played overall.

• The under is 6-3 in the Bengals’ last nine home preseason games.

• The under is 7-3 in the Bengals’ last 10 preseason games.

• The under is 4-1 in the Bengals’ last five Saturday games played.

• The over is 7-3 in the Bengals’ last 10 games played on field turf.

These two teams have combined to score an average of 38.0 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 38.33 points per game in their most recent three encounters.

Even without Stafford, the Rams’ offense has looked fine, just not great. John Wolford is a seasoned veteran while Bryce Perkins has been good in the preseason, connecting on 21 of 30 passes for 256 passing yards in two games.

Cincinnati has scored an average of 24 points per game in their last three preseason games. They have amassed close to 500 total passing yards in their two preseason games. The Bengals have gone over in each of their last three preseason games played.

Both teams look ready and want to avoid any untoward injuries. Both defenses should be looking to stay healthy, giving the opposing offenses more than enough room to score. I think this will be a high-scoring game with the score hitting at least 40 in total.

Prediction: Over 38

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