Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills 01/16/2021 NFL Betting Odds, Preview and Prediction

The Baltimore Ravens travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills on January 16, 2021, at the Bills Stadium in this divisional-round matchup.

Baltimore defeated the Tennessee Titans last weekend behind Lamar Jackson’s spectacular showing. The win ended a skid for Jackson who entered this postseason with a 0-2 record in the playoffs. Meanwhile, Buffalo is coming off its first playoff victory in 25 years. The Bills defeated the Colts to end a six-game playoff losing streak.

Baltimore Ravens

Tennessee jumped the gun on the Ravens last week as the Titans opened with a 10-0 lead in the first quarter of their wild-card game. But then Baltimore’s defense took over as it shut down Derrick Henry to just 40 yards on 18 carries and sealed the win with an interception of Ryan Tannehill.

Lamar Jackson controlled the offense for the Ravens as he rushed for 136 yards on 16 carries while passing for 179 yards. JK Dobbins had 9 carries for 43 yards and one touchdown. Marquise Brown caught 7 passes for 109 yards while Mark Andrews caught 4 passes for 41 yards.

Baltimore led the league in rushing offense at 191.6 yards per game. The Ravens’ offense also ranked 7th overall in scoring at 29.3 points per game. On defense, they had the second-best scoring defense in the NFL at 18.9 points per game allowed. The Ravens have allowed 14 or fewer points in their last four games played.

Buffalo Bills

Like Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen got his first playoff victory last week. Allen completed 26 of 35 passes for 324 yards with two touchdowns and added 53 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown while Micah Hyde batted down Phillip Rivers’ desperation pass as the Bills won 27-24 for their first playoff victory in a quarter of a century.

Allen finished the game with a QBR of 85.0 and a quarterback rating of 121.6 Stefon Diggs caught 6 passes for 128 yards including a 35-yard TD grab. Cole Beasley led the team with seven catches for 57 yards while Gabriel Davis caught 4 passes for 85 yards.

During the regular season, Buffalo ranked in the bottom half of the league in rushing offense at 119.6 rushing yards per game. Last week, the Bills allowed the Colts to rush for 163 yards, third-most among the teams that played last week. That could be a problem against Baltimore which led the league in rushing offense.

Who Wins?

Baltimore is 6-0 SU in their last six games played. The Ravens are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games played on the road, and 6-1 SU in their last seven games played against the AFC East. Buffalo is 7-0 SU in their last seven games played. The Bills are 6-0 SU in their last six games played on the road. Head to head, the Ravens are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against the Bills.

Lamar Jackson is coming off one of his best games of the year as he ended a two-game playoff losing streak. Mark Andrews could have a big day after Buffalo gave up 14 catches and 136 receiving yards to Indianapolis’ tight ends. Baltimore has allowed 14 or fewer points in four straight games and less than 20 in six out of their last seven.

Buffalo’s Josh Allen ranked first with 19 touchdowns and 1,850 passing yards against the pressure and Baltimore blitzed their opponent more than any defense in the league this season. Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley will be his key targets. Diggs led the league with 127 receptions and 1,535 receiving yards and had 8 touchdowns while Beasley caught 82 passes for 967 yards.

This is the hardest game to call among all the divisional matchups and the oddsmakers agree because they’ve given it the closest spread among this weekend’s games. This feels like a game that will go down the wire. There’s not much of a home field advantage here without the crowd. Give me the plus money here.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens

Other Bets To Make

The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games played. Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in their last eight games played on the road, and 5-0 ATS in their last five games played against the AFC. Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games played. The Bills are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games played at home, 5-1 ATS in their last six games played against the AFC, but 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games played in January. Head to head, the Ravens are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Bills.

Both these teams have been red hot against the spread to close out the season. Baltimore has the best rushing offense in the league while Buffalo’s rush defense isn’t among the elites. With Lamar Jackson starting to lean on his running game which makes him tough to defend, the Ravens are on a roll heading to this game. The Bills gave up 163 rushing yards to the Colts last week, the Ravens may have their way on the ground in this game. Josh Allen will be a tough nut to crack but the Ravens have the 6th best passing defense and allow the second-fewest yards per attempt. I think this will be a close game that could go down to the final possession. I’ll take the plus points here.

Prediction: Ravens +2.5

The total has gone under in 10 out of the last 17 games played by the Ravens. The under is 6-3 in Baltimore’s nine road games played this season. The total has gone over in 12 out of the last 17 games played by Buffalo. The over is 6-3 in the Bills’ last nine games played at home. The under is 5-0 in their last five games played against the AFC North. Head to head, the total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by these two teams. The under is also 4-1 in their last five games played in Buffalo.

The Ravens have allowed just 10.8 points per game in their last four games played. However, three out of their four opponents during that period were among the worst offenses in the league. The last time that Baltimore faced a decent offensive team was in week 14 when they faced the Browns and that game ended up with a score of 47-42. On the other hand, Buffalo has the 2nd best scoring offense in the league at 31.1 points per game this season. They also had good scoring games against Top defenses like the Colts, Steelers, 49ers, and Rams. The Ravens are also averaging 34.3 PPG in their last six games. I’ll back the over.

Prediction: Over 50

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