Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints 11/7/22 NFL Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Baltimore Ravens hit the road and visit the New Orleans Saints at the Caesars Superdome on Monday at 8:15 p.m. E.T.

Baltimore heads to this contest after a 27-22 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, winning outright as a 2-point underdog. The Ravens are 5-3 SU and 3-1 SU when playing on the road this season.

Likewise, New Orleans heads to this game coming off a victory. The Saints blanked the Las Vegas Raiders at home, winning as a one-point spread bottom dog. New Orleans is 3-5 SU and ATS on the season and is just 2-3 SU at home this year.

These teams have played seven times in their all-time head-to-head series. Baltimore leads New Orleans 5-2 with the Ravens winning at home 24-23 in their most recent meeting on October 21, 2018.

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore rallied from a 10-3 first half deficit last Thursday to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. After struggling to score in the opening two quarters, the Ravens produced three touchdowns and one field goal in the second half to pick up the win and improve to 5-3 on the season.

Lamar Jackson is 148 0f 235 passing for 1,635 passing yards with 15 TDs and 6 INTs. Lamar has 75 carries for 553 yards with 2 rush TDs but he’s been sacked 17 times already this season. Kenyan Drake has 251 rushing yards on 49 carries with one TD. Meanwhile, Mark Andrews has caught 42 passes for 488 yards with five TDs. Rashod Bateman has 15 catches for 285 yards with 2 TD catches. Devin Duvernay has caught 24 catches for 313 yards with 3 TD catches.

New Orleans Saints

After winning their season opener, the Saints had dropped five of their next six games before coming up with a strong 24-0 win over the Las Vegas Raiders last weekend to move to 3-5 SU on the season. The Saints dominated on offense with 367 offensive yards while allowing just 183. They also picked up 22 first downs while allowing just three.

Jameis Winston is 73-115 for 859 passing yards with 4 TDs and 5 INTs on the season. Andy Dalton is 105-161 for 1,175 passing yards with 9 TDs and 4 INTs on the year. Taysom Hill has been very versatile on the field with 88 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 337 rushing yards with 5 rushing TDs, plus three catches including 1 TD grab. Alvin Kamara is 413 rushing yards on 95 carries with 1 TD while Mark Ingram has 196 yards on 51 carries with 1 TD. Chris Olave has caught 37 passes for 514 receiving yards with two TD grabs.

Ravens vs Saints SU Prediction

The Ravens are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played against the Saints. Baltimore is also 2-1 SU in their last three road games against New Orleans.

Baltimore Ravens SU trends:

• The Ravens are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played.

• The Ravens are 3-1 SU in their 4 road games played this season.

• The Ravens are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games played against the National Football Conference.

• The Ravens are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games played against the NFC South Division.

New Orleans Saints SU trends:

• The Saints are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games played.

• The Saints are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played at home.

• The Saints are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played in the AFC North Division.

The Ravens had a big hole in their defense and they addressed that need at the trade deadline when they acquired one of the best tacklers in the NBA in All-Pro linebacker in Roquan Smith in a deal with the Chicago Bears. Smith leads the NFL in tackles this season with 83 and he obviously makes Baltimore a contender especially after beating Tampa Bay the last time out.

On offense, Baltimore could miss running back Gus Edwards and tight end Mark Andrews but even if they miss time, they still have other weapons like backup tight end Isaiah Likely who caught 6 passes for 77 yards with one TD grab against the Bucs. The bigger issue for Baltimore will be after the end of the season when they have to sign both Smith and Lamar Jackson. But that’s not a concern in this game.

Meanwhile, the Saints had higher expectations before the season started but even at 3-5, they have a shot at winning the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons at the top with their 4-4 record. New Orleans blanked the Las Vegas Raiders 24-0 the last time out so they should be headed to this game with plenty of confidence.

The Saints made head coach Dennis Allen look good after playing well on both ends of the field after Allen decided to stick with Andy Dalton as the starter. Dalton played well in the win, completing 22-30 passes for 229 yards with 2 touchdown passes. He also did not throw an INT after throwing 3 picks two weeks ago in a loss to the Arizona Cardinals.

The Ravens’ offense runs through Lamar Jackson and that’s what’s going to happen here. Unlike their last opponent, the Saints will have issues with Jackson’s dual-threat ability. Last week, they made life miserable for Derek Carr but with Lamar’s ability to run, he’s going to keep the Saints’ defense guessing.

Alvin Kamara scored his first rushing TD of the season last time. He also caught two TD passes and will be the key to the Saints’ offense, regardless of who plays under center. The presence of Roquan Smith could be an issue for the Saints but since this is his first game with the team, I don’t expect him to get too acclimated with the team yet.

I’m picking the home team to win here.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints

Ravens vs Saints 11/7/22 AT Prediction

The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games played between these two teams. The Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games played between these two teams.

Baltimore Ravens ATS trends:

• The Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

• The Ravens are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

• The Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The Ravens are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

• The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

• The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf.

New Orlean Saints ATS trends:

• The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

• The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9.

• The Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

• The Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points.

• The Saints are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win.

• The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win.

• The Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.

• The Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Saints have a good enough defense to be able to contain Lamar’s ability to run and cover the Ravens’ receivers downfield. Baltimore could also be without their star catcher Bateman and tight end Andrews. With the possibility of missing those two players on offense, I’m not siding with the Ravens in this game.

New Orleans’ offense played well last week, scoring 24 on the Raiders. Andy Dalton and Chris Olave are good enough to move the ball downfield for the Saints while Alvin Kamara is starting to play well and should be able to help the team pick up first downs in this game. With the Saints having the better defense, I’m picking them to beat the Ravens in this matchup. And by the way, Baltimore is 1-3 ATS in their last four Monday Night Football games.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints +1.5

Ravens vs Saints Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played between these two teams.

Baltimore Ravens over/under trends:

• The under is 4-1 in the Ravens’ last 5 games overall.

• The under is 13-6 in the Ravens’ last 19 road games.

• The under is 4-1 in the Ravens’ last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

• The under is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last 8 games following a straight-up win.

• The under is 5-2 in the Ravens’ last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

• The under is 5-2 in the Ravens’ last 7 games in November.

• The under is 7-3 in the Ravens’ last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

New Orleans Saints over/under trends:

• The over is 4-1 in the Saints’ last 5 games overall.

• The over is 4-0 in the Saints’ last 4 games following an ATS win.

• The over is 4-1 in the Saints’ last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• The over is 11-4 in the Saints’ last 15 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

• The under is 4-1 in the Saints’ last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

• The under is 7-2 in the Saints’ last 9 games on field turf.

• The under is 10-3 in the Saints’ last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

• The under is 6-2 in the Saints’ last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• The under is 5-2 in the Saints’ last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

• The under is 20-8 in the Saints’ last 28 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points.

• The under is 5-2 in the Saints’ last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

With Baltimore potentially losing key players on offense, I don’t expect a high-scoring game here. Bateman, Andrews, and Gus Edwards could all be out of this game which means that the Saints’ defense can focus more on stopping Lamar Jackson.

New Orleans has a balanced offense with the team’s ability to score off the pass and the run. With the Ravens’ good pass rush, I expect the Saints to run the football more and let Dalton throw short passes and quick routes. With Kamara playing well, they should be able to move the ball downfield and create more than enough scoring chances to beat a Baltimore team that could be depleted on offense.

As far as the scoring goes, I expect a low-scoring game here.

Prediction: Under 47

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