Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers 11/26/2020 NFL Odds and Prediction

The Baltimore Ravens travel to Heinz Field to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thanksgiving Day.

The Ravens have dropped three of their last four since taking a bye week and have fallen out of playoff position. Meanwhile, the Steelers can clinch the AFC North division with a victory over the struggling Ravens. Baltimore opened as six-point favorites when they played at the M&T Bank Stadium less than a month ago. Now, they opened as three-point underdogs and are currently at +5 in the latest odds board after news that several Ravens players tested positive for COVID-19.

Baltimore outgained Pittsburgh 457-221 in total yards during their first meeting of the season. However, the Ravens committed four turnovers while forcing just one. Baltimore also lost 80 yards due to 8 penalties in that game which Pittsburgh won 28-24.

Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have fallen behind Pittsburgh and Cleveland in the race for the AFC North after losing three of their four games played since taking a bye week, Baltimore is here fighting to stay alive in the playoff race. The Ravens lost 23-17 as seven-point favorites to the Patriots two games ago. Last week, they fell 30-24 to the Tennessee Titans as six-point favorites. The Titans outgained the Ravens 423-206 in the matchup.

Lamar Jackson completed 17 of 29 passes for 186 yards with one touchdown. Jackson also rushed for 51 yards on 13 carries JK Dobbins led their running game with 70 rushing yards on 15 carries while Mark Andrews led all receivers with five catches for 96 yards and a score. Dez Bryant caught his first pass since 2017 and had four caught for 28 yards.

Baltimore has the 12th best scoring team in the league at 26.8 points per game and they own the NFL’s top rushing attack at 160.5 rushing yards per game. The passing game is next to last at only 183.4 yards per game with Jackson putting up 1,948 yards with 15 touchdowns and six interceptions.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers kept their unbeaten slate after a 27-3 home win over the Jacksonville Jaguars as 11-point favorites. Pittsburgh outgained Jacksonville 373-206 in total yards and outnumbered them in first downs, 23-14. Ben Roethlisberger threw for 267 yards on 32-46 passing with two touchdowns and one interception.

Roethlisberger ranks 16th with a QBR of 66.4. He has passed for a total of 2,534 yards with an impressive 24 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Diontae Johnson led the team with 12 catches for 111 yards. James Connor had 89 rushing yards on 13 carries for Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh ranks 4th in the league in scoring at 29.8 points per game this season. They are 21st in total offense at 347.8 yards of offense per game and 18th in passing at 245.6 passing yards per contest. On defense, Pittsburgh is allowing just 17.4 points and 306.9 yards per outing.

Who Wins?

Baltimore is 15-5 SU in their last 20 games played. The Ravens are 4-1 SU in five road games played this season, and 10-1 SU in their last 11 road games overall. They are also 7-1 SU in their last eight games against the AFC North. Pittsburgh is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played. The Steelers are 5-0 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Ravens have won two out of the last three meetings between these two teams.

Things are getting desperate in Baltimore as they have dropped three out of their last four assignments and have slid to third place in the AFC North. Poor tackling cost them their last game as AJ Brown broke multiple tackles for a touchdown in the fourth. Then they surrendered a 29-yard TD run to Derrick Henry in OT. To make matters worse, running backs Mark Ingram and J.K.Dobbins tested positive for COVID-19 and have been ruled out of this game.

The Steelers used a suffocating defense to pull off a 27-3 win over Jacksonville. They allowed only 206 total yards and got two sacks and a pair of interceptions from Terrell Edmunds and Minkah Fitzpatrick. Diontae Johnson had his second 100-yard game and is one of the players to watch here. Chase Claypool became the third rookie to catch 10 TD passes. Juju Smith Schuster suffered a toe injury at Jacksonville and his status is still unknown. Meanwhile, tight end Zach Gentry is out with a knee injury.

But if there’s a team that can stop Pittsburgh’s run, it’s the Ravens who have been terrific on the road in the last two seasons. Baltimore is 7-2 outright in their last nine away games and the road team has won four out of the last six in this rivalry. Overall, Baltimore has taken three out of the last five against Pittsburgh.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens

Other Bets To Make

The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. Baltimore is 2-2-1 ATS in five road games played this season. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games played. They are 4-1 ATS in five home games played this season, and 6-0 ATS in their last six games against the AFC. Head to head, the Ravens are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Steelers, and 4-0-2 ATS in their last six road games in Pittsburgh.

The underdogs have covered nine out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Baltimore is fighting for their playoff lives. We should see them rise above their current struggles despite playing on the road. Sure, their confidence is shaken but Pittsburgh has got to lose at some point this season. Even though I pick the Ravens to win outright, I think this will be a close game where every point counts. Take the plus.

Prediction: Ravens +5

The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by the Ravens. Baltimore has seen the total go under in three of five road games played this year, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine games against the AFC. The total has gone under in five out of the last seven November games played by the Steelers. The under is also 11-5 in their last 16 Week 12 games. Head to head, the total has gone over in four out of the last six games between these two teams.

These teams combined to score 52 points when the total was set at 44 during their first meeting last November 1st. Pittsburgh has scored at least 24 points in all of their games this season, including 28 against Baltimore in their first meeting. The Ravens have put up 24 or more points in six out of their last seven games. These are two good defensive teams but they just have better offenses. If it rains, the total should go down but not much to prevent a high-scoring game.

Prediction: Over 45

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