Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 09/14/2022 Odds and Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays meet in Game 4 of their current series on Wednesday night at Rogers Centre.

Tampa Bay and Toronto split their double-header on Tuesday. Jeffrey Springs pitched six scoreless innings to pick up his fifth win in six decisions as the Rays won the first game 4-2. George Springer hit a two-run homer to lift the Blue Jays to a 7-2 win in the night cap. Toronto won the opening game of the series on a go-ahead home run from Bo Bichette.

The Rays are 79-62 on the season and 3rd in the AL East. They are currently tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the 2nd wild card spot in the AL and the teams are 5 games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles in the race. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 80-62 on the season and in 2nd place in the AL East, six games behind the New York Yankees. Toronto is currently the no. 1 wild card team in the AL but are just one-half game ahead of the Rays for that spot.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays are still five games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles in the Wild Card race but they would still want to pick up this win to get back on the winning side. Tampa Bay is just 1-4 in their last five games after going 9-1 in the 10 games previous to that. A win on Friday would give them a 2-2 split in the series.

Randy Arozarena leads the Blue Jays with 19 home runs and 78 RBIs on the season. Meanwhile, Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter at .295 while also producing 51 RBIs. DH Harold Ramirez has 53 RBIs on 107 hits for Toronto and Isaac Paredes has 18 home runs on the year.

Drew Rasmussen will open for the Tampa Bays Rays. The right hander is 10-4 on the season with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has pitched in a total of 122.2 innings this season and has given up 101 hits with 113 strikeouts and 27 walks this season. He is 4-3 with an ERA of 3.22 on the road. Rasmussen is 0-1 with an ERA of 1.65 in three starts against the Blue Jays this season.

Toronto Blue Jays

While the Yankees are still six games up on them, the Toronto Blue Jays are tied with the Seattle Mariners for the top wild card spot in the American League. Toronto is 7-3 in their last 10 games played and 2-1 so far in this current set against the Rays. Toronto currently trails their season series 6-7 after 13 games played.

Vladimir Guerrero leads the team with 27 home runs while Bo Bichette has 87 RBIs to lead the Blue Jays. Vladdy Jr. also has 82 RBIs this season while Alejandro Kirk leads the team with a batting average of .295.

Ross Stripling will be the opener for the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The right-handed starter is 7-3 on the season with an ERA of 3.03. He has pitched in 113 innings this season and has conceded 95 hits with 98 strikeouts and 19 walks this season. He is 2-3 with an ERA of 2.84 when pitching at Rogers Centre. Stripling gave up four runs in 4.2 innings in his only start against the Rays this season.

Rays vs Blue Jays Betting Prediction

The Rays ae 5-2 in their last seven games played against the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay is also 4-1 in their last five games played in Toronto.

Tampa Bay Rays betting trends:

• The Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 games played overall.

• The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 Game 4s of a series.

• The Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.

• The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• The Rays are 7-2 in their last 9 Wednesday games.

• The Rays are 17-5 in their last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• The Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• The Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• The Rays are 8-3 in their last 11 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

• The Rays are 36-16 in their last 52 games on astroturf.

• The Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 road games against a right-handed starter.

• The Rays are 7-19 in their last 26 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• The Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record.

• The Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

• The Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Toronto Blue Jays betting trends:

• The Blue Jays are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.

• The Blue Jays are 4-2 in their last 6 games played on the road.

• The Blue Jays are 17-4 in their last 21 games versus a right-handed starter.

• The Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 Game 4s of a series.

• Th Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the American League.

• The Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 versus the American League East.

• The Blue Jays are 9-3 in their last 12 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• The Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 against a team with a winning record.

• The Blue Jays are 35-16 in their last 51 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• The Blue Jays are 47-23 in their last 70 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• The Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• The Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Right hander Drew Rasmussen will be the starter for Tampa Bay on Wednesday. Rasmussen was impressive in his last outing last Friday where the Rays beat the Yankees. In that game, he pitched six scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts, Rasmussen has looked great since the Rays lost Shane Baz to injury, posting a solid 2.57 ERA with a WHIP of 1.04 and a K:BB ratio of 113/27.

Meanwhile, Toronto has looked good at the plate and Bo Bichette is having an excellent month with seven homers and 21 RBIs in 11 total games. However, for as long as Rasmussen can keep him in check, the Rays should be able to gut out a close win here.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under 

The under is 15-5-3 in the last 23 games played between these two teams. The total has gone over in four out of the last five meetings in Toronto.

Tampa Bay Rays over/under trends:

• Under is 7-3 in the Rays’ last 10 overall.

• Under is 6-1 in the Rays’ last 7 on astroturf.

• Under is 7-2 in the Rays’ last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.

• Under is 3-1-2 in the Rays’ last 6 Wednesday games.

• Under is 6-2 in the Rays’ last 8 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Under is 5-2 in the Rays’ last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

• Under is 7-3 in the Rays’ last 10 vs. American League East.

• Under is 13-6 in the Rays’ last 19 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Under is 14-6 in the Rays’ last 20 games played in September.

• Over is 5-0 in the Rays’ last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Over is 5-0 in the Rays’ last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Over is 5-1 in the Rays’ last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

• Over is 5-2 in the Rays’ last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Toronto Blue Jays over/under trends:

• Under is 5-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 6 overall.

• Under is 5-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 Game 4s of a series.

• Under is 4-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 4 home games versus a team with a winning record.

• Under is 5-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 6 Wednesday games.

• Under is 4-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 6-2 in the Blue Jays’ last 8 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

• Under is 9-3 in the Blue Jays’ last 12 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 10-4-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 15 home games versus a right-handed starter.

• Under is 14-6-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 21 games played on astroturf.

• Over is 10-4 in the Blue Jays’ last 14 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Over is 3-1-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Over is 3-1-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 5 home games.

• Over is 8-2-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Over is 4-1-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 6 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

These two teams have scored a combined 7.9 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, and just 6.67 runs per game in their most recent three games played. Six out of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games have seen a total below 8 runs while five out of the last seven games played by the Blue Jays had a total of seven or fewer runs.

The Rays have allowed the fifth fewest runs per game in baseball this season. Tampa Bay is also ranked in the Top 5 in staff ERA and WHIP. Meanwhile, Stripling heads to this game with an ERA of 3.03, WHIP of 1.01, and a 98/19 K/BB ratio in over 113.0 innings pitched this season.

These two teams have good hitters and and have displayed both precision and power at he plate this season. However, given the starting pitcher matchup, this game should be a low-scoring contest with both pitchers delivering good stuff.

Prediction: Under 8

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