The Kansas City Royals and San Francisco Giants will open a three-game set on Monday night at Oracle Park.
Kansas City is having a terrible campaign and currently has the worst record in the American League at 20-39. The Royals are coming off a 10-7 loss to the Baltimore Orioles as -136 betting favorites last Sunday to finish their four-game set with a 2-2 split. Meanwhile, the Giants are coming off a three-game sweep of their archrival Los Angeles Dodgers in their last series. San Francisco capped off the sweep with a 2-0 win on Sunday as +140 betting underdogs.
The Royals began the week with three straight wins but ended it with back-to-back losses to the Orioles. In those two losses, the Kansas City pitching staff gave up a total of 16 runs Last Sunday, Baltimore opened with a 7-0 lead before Salvador Perez’s RBI fielder’s choice gave KC its first score. Hunter Dozier, Michael A. Taylor, and Bobby Witt Jr. hit home runs but those weren’t enough to overcome the big lead and the Royals lost for the second straight game.
Right-hander Brady Singer will start for the Royals on Monday. The 25-year-old has started in a total of five games this season and has posted a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.16. Singer has pitched in a total of 35.1 innings and has allowed 17 earned runs on 37 hits with 35 strikeouts and four walks.
In his most recent start, Singer picked up the win in the Royals’ 8-4 win against the Toronto Blue Jays. Singer pitched in a total of 5 innings and allowed 3 earned runs on 8 hits with 5 strikeouts. Kansas City is 4-2 in his last six starts.
The Giants aren’t having the same season as they had last year. However, they head to this series coming off their best performance of the season. San Francisco swept the World Series favorites Los Angeles Dodgers to tighten the race in the NL West. The Giants now trail the Dodgers by only 3.5 games in the divisional standings. Solo home runs by Austin Slater and Mike Yastrzemski proved to be the only score in Sunday’s game.
Alex Wood will open on top of the mount for the Giants. The 31-year-old left-hander is 3-5 in 11 starts this season. Wood has an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.34 with 55 strikeouts. In a total of 55.1 innings pitched, Wood has conceded 26 runs on 59 hits with only 5 home runs allowed.
Wood allowed only one earned run on five hits in 7.0 innings pitched during a 2-1 win over the Colorado Rockies. The Giants have posted a record of 3-3 in his last six starts this season.
The Royals are 11-5 in their last 16 games played against the Giants. Kansas City is also 3-2 in their last five meetings played in San Francisco.
The Royals are:
18-39 in their last 57 overall.
0-4 in their last 4 road games.
95-194 in their last 289 games as a road underdog.
101-206 in their last 307 games against a team with a winning record.
52-107 games in their last 159 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
18-39 in their last 57 games on grass.
21-46 in their last 67 Monday games.
5-12 in their last 17 games when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
8-20 in their last 28 games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games.
17-43 in their last 60 games as an underdog.
5-13 in their last 18 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
2-6 in their last 8 Game 1s of a series.
2-6 in their last 8 interleague games as an underdog.
6-21 in their last 27 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
2-7 in their last 9 games following a loss.
2-8 in their last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
1-4 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
The Giants are:
4-1 in their last 5 overall.
4-1 in their last 5 home games.
8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
16-5 in their last 21 Monday games.
16-5 in their last 21 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
12-4 in their last 16 interleague home games.
6-2 in their last 8 games against the American League Central.
6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
22-8 in their last 30 interleague games as a favorite.
21-8 in their last 29 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
25-10 in their last 35 interleague games.
68-29 in their last 97 games when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
36-16 in their last 52 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
61-28 in their last 89 games as a favorite.
39-18 in their last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
46-22 in their last 68 Game 1s of a series.
4-9 in their last 13 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
2-6 in their last 8 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
San Francisco is slowly starting to iron out the pitching issues that have held them back so far this season. They will head to this series with plenty of confidence after sweeping the World Series favorites L.A. Dodgers. The Giants have the third-highest scoring in baseball with 5 runs per game and they have a team OPS of .724.
Meanwhile, the Royals rank in the bottom four in runs scored and ERA. They look overmatched in this matchup and their pitching staff is going to have plenty of trouble against the Giants’ batting order.
Singer posted a scoreless streak of nearly 20 innings but since then, he has posted an ERA of 7.47. Meanwhile, Woods has been an above-average option throughout his career and with the firepower that the Giants have on offense, he should be able to do just enough to help them pick up a win against one of the worst teams in the majors this season.
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
The total has gone over in two out of the last three head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The over is 4-2 in their last six games played in San Francisco.
Kansas City Royals over/under trends:
Over is 4-1 in the Royals’ last 5 overall.
Over is 9-3 in the Royals’ last 12 road games.
Over is 7-0 in the Royals’ last 7 interleague games.
Over is 6-0 in the Royals’ last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in the Royals’ last 4 interleague games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in the Royals’ last 5 interleague road games.
Over is 6-0 in the Royals’ last 6 versus National League West.
Over is 5-1 in the Royals’ last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in the Royals’ last 6 road games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-3 in the Royals’ last 12 games as a road underdog.
Over is 13-5 in the Royals’ last 18 versus a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-3-1 in the Royals’ last 11 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in the Royals’ last 6 Monday games.
Under is 27-10 in the Royals’ last 37 road games against a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in the Royals’ last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-4 in the Royals’ last 13 interleague road games against a left-handed starter.
Under is 38-17 in the Royals’ last 55 interleague games versus a left-handed starter.
San Francisco Giants over/under trends:
Under is 5-0-2 in the Giants’ last 7 overall.
Under is 4-0-2 in the Giants’ last 6 home games.
Under is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last 4 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 2-0-2 in the Giants’ last 4 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last 4 games following a win.
Under is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 3-0-2 in the Giants’ last 5 Game 1s of a series.
Under is 5-0-2 in the Giants’ last 7 on grass.
Under is 4-0-1 in the Giants’ last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 6-2 in the Giants’ last 8 interleague games against a right-handed starter.
Over is 14-4-1 in the Giants’ last 19 interleague games against a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-2-1 in the Giants’ last 10 interleague home games versus a team with a losing record.
Over is 9-3-1 in the Giants’ last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 8-3-1 in the Giants’ last 12 games as a home favorite.
Over is 5-2 in Giants’ last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 15-7-1 in Giants’ last 23 interleague home games.
Over
8.5 (-110)
Under
-179
Odds from BetOnline as of 06/13/2022
Despite its strong showing this weekend, the San Francisco bullpen still ranks in the bottom 10 in ERA. This should allow the Royals to score some runs in the middle innings, especially with Witt starting to show that he’s a star and Taylor waxing hot.
Meanwhile, Kansas City’s bullpen is even worse with the third-worst ERA in baseball. The Royals have very few reliable options and considering they are facing one of the top-scoring teams in the majors, this should be a big problem for them.
Both pitching staffs have not been very good this season but the Giants have the edge in offense and they will do the heavy damage here.
Prediction: Over 8.5
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