New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars 10/13/19 Betting Odds and Pick

The New Orleans Saints are 1.5 point underdogs against the Jacksonville Jaguars when these two teams collide on Sunday, October 13, 2019, at the TIAA Bank Field.

The New Orleans Saints lost starting quarterback Drew Brees to a hand injury in week 2 of the season but despite back-up Terry Bridgewater calling the plays, the Saints have kept on rolling. New Orleans is 4-1 SU on the season and is gunning for their third straight win against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday.

The Saints saw Bridgewater deliver his best performance of the young season. The veteran threw for 314 yards with four touchdowns as he remained unbeaten in three starts this year. Bridgewater connected twice with Michael Thomas and once each with Jared Cook and Tim Ginn Jr. Thomas dominated the Bucs’ secondary with 11 catches for 182 receiving yards.

New Orleans has the 14th best scoring average in the league at 23.0 points per game. Their offense is producing 244 passing yards per game, 16th best in the NFL while their rushing team is putting up 104.4 rushing yards per contest, 20th overall. The Saints are allowing their foes to score an average of 23.2 points per game this season.

The Jacksonville Jaguars signed former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles last summer. But even before Foles could weave his magic in Jacksonville, the former Eagles back-up suffered a season-ending injury in week 1. With Foles out, Rookie Gardner Minshew has taken over and he has led this team to two wins in four starts.

In his last outing, Minshew threw for 26-45 for 374 yards with two touchdowns. However, he fumbled the ball thrice and the Jaguars lost to the Panthers 27-34. Leonard Fournette also had a big game during the loss as he had 108 rushing yards and one touchdown on 23 carries. DJ Clark had eight catches for 164 yards with two touchdowns.

The Jaguars rank 8th in the NFL in rushing yards at 138.0 per contest. They are also 10th in passing with an average of 254.6 yards per contest. Jacksonville is averaging 22.2 points per game which is 17th in the league and they are conceding an average of 23.6 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

The Saints are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played, including 4-1 SU this season. New Orleans is 8-0 SU in their last eight games against the AFC Conference. The Jaguars are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games played and 0-6 SU in their last six games against the NFC Conference. Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in their last five games played October and 1-7 SU in their last eight games played in Week 6. Head to head, the Saints are 4-2 SU in their last six meetings.

New Orleans was among the NFL betting favorites to win the Super Bowl during the preseason. Despite playing without an injured Drew Brees, things haven’t changed. The Saints are 4-1 and Bridgewater is coming off his best game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week.

Saints’ star receiver Michael Thomas leads the league with 4.6 yards per route against the press this season and his tandem with Bridgewater went 9-9 against the press last week with Thomas finishing with 182 yards and 2 scores. Against a Jacksonville pass defense that is ranked in the bottom half of the league this season, I’m looking at Thomas having another big week and the Saints winning their fifth game of the season. I’m picking the New Orleans Saints to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars on 10/13/19. Prediction: New Orleans Saints

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Other Bets To Make

New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the AFC South Division and 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games played in October. The Jaguars are 3-2 ATS in five games played this season. Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC Conference and 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the NFC South Division. Head to head, the Saints are 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings.

The Saints have outscored the Jaguars by an average of 4.33 points per game in their last 10 games and 13.67 points per game in their last three meetings. The betting odds say that this one’s a pick ‘em game and that means it could go either way. I’m siding with the Bridgewater-Thomas tandem to produce another big game against the Jaguars. New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games played and are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against Jacksonville. Prediction: Saints +1.5

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The total has gone over in three out of the first five games played by New Orleans. The Saints have seen the total go under in four out of their last five road games played. The total has gone over in three out of the five games played by the Jaguars this season. The under is 5-1 in Jacksonville’s last six games played at home. Head to head, the over is 2-1 in the last three meetings between these two teams.

These teams have combined to score 49.33 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 54.33 points per game in their last three encounters. The Saints have gone over the 44.5 point total in three games this season while the Jaguars have also breached that total thrice this season. I expect the Jaguars to go to Leonard Fournette here because the Saints have a very good pass defense. If Drew Brees were here, I would have loved to pick them over. However, I think this will be a slow game played on the ground without him. Prediction: Over 44.5

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