The San Antonio Spurs visit the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta.
Bouncing Back Big Time
The San Antonio Spurs had a disastrous Rodeo Trip where they went 1-7 SU. But after that debacle, the Spurs have bounced back big time with three straight home victories against the Detroit Pistons, Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets who are all playoff-bound if the postseason begins today.
DeMar DeRozan is San Antonio’s main man this season with 21.5 points, 6.2 rebounds, 6.1 assists and 1.0 steals per game. LaMarcus Aldridge is finishing the season strong with 21.0 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game. Veteran forward Rudy Gay is contributing 14.2 points and 6.5 rebounds per game while Bryn Forbes and Marco Belinelli are scoring 11.8 and 10.9 points per game, respectively.
The Spurs rank 18th in team scoring at 111.9 points per game. San Antonio is 16th in passing at 24.4 dimes per contest and they are also ranked 22nd in rebounding at 44.5 boards per contest. The Spurs are allowing their opponents to score 111.1 points per game, giving them the league’s 14th best scoring defense.
Spurs
-260
Hawks
+215
Odds from bet365 as of 3/06/19
With 17 games left to play, the Atlanta Hawks are eight games outside the playoff picture. And while the team is striving to play their best night in and night out, they just can’t get the breaks. Atlanta lost in quadruple overtime to the Bulls last Friday and then saw themselves dropping a close 113-114 loss to the Miami Heat on Monday.
John Collins leads the Hawks with 19.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game. Rookie Trae Young has picked up his game and is averaging 18.2 points and 7.8 assists per game for Atlanta. Taurean Prince and Kent Bazemore are contributing 13.3 and 12.8 points per game respectively while Dewayne Dedmon is putting up 10.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game.
.@KennethNugent is donating $3 to the Hawks Foundation for #scoreforscholarships with every point we score this season!
Here's the total after last night: pic.twitter.com/bxaTJ1BXG9
— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) March 5, 2019
Atlanta is the 14th highest scoring team in the NBA at 112.3 points per game. They are ranked 10th in assists with 25.6 dimes per contest and are also 12th in rebounding at 45.5 boards per outing. Atlanta has the worst scoring defense in the entire league as they are allowing their opponents to score 119.0 points per game this season.
Who Wins?
San Antonio is 4-6 SU in its last 10 games played. The Spurs are 1-6 SU in their last seven road games played. Atlanta is also 4-6 SU in its last 10 games played and the Hawks are 3-4 SU in their last seven home games. Head to head, the Spurs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Hawks.
The Spurs are 11-22 SU on the road this season but after three straight wins including consecutive victories over the Thunder and Nuggets, they are confident heading to this game. The Hawks aren’t as good as home either as they are 11-19 SU at home this season so that should even things up in the numbers department.
The Hawks have alternated between a win and a loss in their last six games and if that holds, they should be due for a win on Wednesday. But San Antonio is playing well right now and the momentum of their recent success could spill over in this game. Add the fact that the Hawks could be without Dewayne Dedmon and John Collins who are questionable for this game with injury or illness.
I’m going against the trends and am picking the San Antonio Spurs to beat the Atlanta Hawks on 3/6/19.
Other Bets To Make
The Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played. San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games played on the road. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. Atlanta is 4-3 ATS in their last seven home games played. Head to head, the Spurs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Hawks.
Spurs
-6 (-110)
Hawks
+6 (-110)
Odds from bet365 as of 3/06/19
San Antonio is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games played, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on one day rest and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 Wednesday games, 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Atlanta and also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Spurs aren’t the same team on the road as they are at home. But with Atlanta possibly without Dewayne Dedmon and John Collins due to injury, I think the Spurs win the game and cover the spread as well.
Prediction: Spurs -6 (-110)
The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games played by the San Antonio Spurs. The over is 6-1 in the Spurs’ last seven road games. The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games of the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta has seen the total go over in four out of their last seven games played at home. Head to head, the under is 3-1 in the last four encounters between the Spurs and Hawks.
Spurs
O 235.5 (-110)
Hawks
U 235.5 (-110)
Odds from bet365 as of 3/06/19
San Antonio has limited its last three opponents to an average of 99 points per game so it’s been defense that got them back on track. I expect the Spurs to play the same kind of defense against the Hawks. Although the Hawks allow the most points in the league, San Antonio’s offense is just pedestal this season. The under is 4-0 in the Spurs’ last four games.
Prediction: Hawks Under 235.5 (-110)