San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Odds and Pick

The San Diego Padres take on the San Francisco Giants in Game 2 of their three-game set. Game time is at 9:45 PM ET of July 29, 2020, at Oracle Park in San Francisco. The teams are still playing their opening game as of this writing.

The Padres are coming off a series win over the Arizona Diamondbacks and are looking to prove that the series win was no fluke. They will be visiting a San Francisco Giants team that will bring the momentum of their back to back win over the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Giants fell behind 0-2 in the series but came back to win the next two to earn a split.

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres started out their season really well. San Diego won three out of their four games against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their opening series. In the three games which they won, the Padres scored a total of 18 runs and conceded only a total of five runs during that period. As of Tuesday evening, the Padres lead the league in average walks per game and they are second behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in OBP.

Chris Paddack will get the start for San Diego. The 24-year old turned in a quality start in his first start of the season against the Diamondbacks. Paddack gave up four hits with one walk and had four strikeouts in six scoreless innings to notch his first win of the season. Last season, he posted an ERA of 3.33 with a WHIP of 0.98 with 153 strikeouts in a total of 140.2 innings pitched.

The Padres have posted an ERA of 2.25 with a WHIP of 1.03 and a BAA of .195. They have a batting average of .231, an OBP of .376, and a slugging percentage of .405. San Diego has scored a total of 21 runs in their first four games of the shortened season.

San Francisco Giants

Their opening series against the Los Angeles Dodgers should give the San Francisco Giants confidence heading to this set. After losing the first two games against the Dodgers, the Giants stormed back to win the next two and force a split. The Giants managed to get enough offense despite missing two of their best players in Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt due to injury.

Johnny Cueto returns on top of the mound after a strong opening performance against the Dodgers. The Giants lost the game 1-8 but Cueto had a solid outing with one run allowed on five hits and one walk with three strikeouts in four innings of action. Cueto started only four games last season and posted an ERA of 5.06 with a WHIP of 1.25 with 13 strikeouts in a total of 16.0 innings pitched.

The Giants have posted an ERA of 4.50 this season. They are ranked 30th early in the season with a WHIP of 1.74 and they are 29th in BAA at .291. San Francisco has a batting average of .215, an OBP of .275, and a slugging percentage of .277. The Giants have scored a total of 7 runs through four games played in their opening series against Los Angeles.

Who Wins?

The Padres are 5-16 SU in their last 21 games. San Diego is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games as the betting favorite. The Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played. San Francisco is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games played at home. The Giants are also 3-8 SU in their last 11 games as underdogs and 0-5 SU in their last five games as home underdogs. Head to head, the Padres are 3-1 SU in their last 10 games played against the Giants.

Both of these teams will be high on confidence heading to this series. But the Giants winning two against the Dodgers will give them momentum heading to this home series. Cueto looked like he stepped into a time machine and proved that he still has plenty left in the tank.

But the Padres will counter with a young ace in Paddack whose ceiling has yet to be determined. The Giants will be without Longoria and Belt in their lineup and with Paddack’s curveball proving deadly early in the season, San Francisco will be swinging and missing for most of the night. The addition of Manny Machado, Trent Grisham, Tommy Pham, and Fernando Tatis have sparked the offense.

Prediction: San Diego Padres (-163)

Other Bets to Make

The total has gone under in five out of the last seven road games played by the Padres. The under is 4-1 in their last five games overall. The total has gone under in five out of the last six road games of San Diego against a right-handed pitcher. The under is also 4-1 in their last five games played against the National League West. The total has gone under in three out of the four games played by the Giants this season.

Paddack delivered a great opening performance as he shut down the Diamondbacks. Meanwhile, Cueto did his job and kept in check a Dodgers lineup that boasted two former league MVPs in Cody Bellinger and Mookie Betts. Sure, it was the first game of the season for both teams but both pitchers may have shown what they are made of this season. Runs won’t come easy here.

Prediction: Under 7.5 (+105)

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