San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat 01/15/20 NBA Betting Odds and Prediction

The San Antonio Spurs head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday night.

The Spurs continue to climb the rankings and after winning three out of their last four games, San Antonio is nearing the .500 mark at 17-21 on the year. In their last game, the Spurs rallied from a double-digit deficit at the end of three quarters to beat the Toronto Raptors. Meanwhile, the Heat head home after back to back losses in New York. The Heat lost to the Nets at the Barclays Center then followed it up with a defeat to the Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

Nearing the .500 Mark

The San Antonio Spurs have played inconsistent basketball this season. Because of that, San Antonio still has a losing record at this stage of the season. But after winning three out of their last four games, the Spurs find themselves nearing the .500 mark. Getting there is key because the last time the team finished the season with a losing record was way back in 1997.

In their last game, the Spurs rallied from a 13-point deficit at the start of the 4th period to defeat the defending NBA champions Toronto Raptors. Former Raptor DeMar DeRozan scored 25 points and grabbed 8 rebounds in his second game back in Toronto. Rudy Gay added 15 points while Derrick White scored 13 points for San Antonio.

San Antonio ranks 6th in the league in scoring at 113.9 points per game while allowing opponents to score an average of 115.0 points per game, 5th worst this season. The Spurs are 6th in rebounds at 46.7 boards grabbed per contest and they are 12th in passing at 24.7 assists per game.

Forgetful New York Weekend

The Miami Heat had a forgetful New York weekend as they dropped back to back games to the Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks on the road. The Heat lost to a Brooklyn team that had previously dropped seven in a row while the Knicks ended their five-game losing spell at the hands of the Heat. The loss dropped Miami to 10-11 on the road this season and they are glad their next game is at home where they are 17-1, best in the NBA.

Despite the loss, the Heat are still 8.5 games on top of the Southeast Division. A silver lining was James Johnson putting up 19 points on 6-7 shooting against the Knicks. Johnson had not played in the previous 18 games but has started to get rotation minutes in the previous week. He should add more depth to a potent Miami offensive machine led by Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo.

Miami ranks 11th in scoring this season at 111.7 points per game. The Heat are 12th in scoring defense at 108.0 points per game allowed. They are 17th overall in rebounding at 45.4 boards grabbed per contest and are 10th in passing at 25.1 assists per game this season.

Who Wins?

The Spurs are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played. San Antonio is 3-3 SU in their last six games away from home, and 7-3 SU in their last 10 January games. The Heat are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games played. Miami is 5-0 SU in their last five games played at home, and 9-4 SU in their last 13 Wednesday games. Head to head, the Spurs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Heat although Miami has won two out of the last three.

San Antonio has proved it can beat the best. The Spurs defeated the Bucks and Celtics in consecutive games. They are also coming off a win over the defending NBA champions Toronto Raptors. But the Spurs are just 6-12 SU on the road this season and will be facing the best home team in the NBA this year.

The Heat have cooled off lately. Miami lost back to back games to the Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks. But not only were both games close and very winnable, but Miami was also playing on the road in both games. After going 1-2 on their recent road trip, the Heat return home where they are 17-1 on the season.

Miami may have lost back to back games to sub .500 teams but they could have easily won both games. I think Coach Spo is going to get his team’s focus back in this game and with the backing of their hometown fans, I expect the Heat to bounce back with a big win against San Antonio.

Prediction: Miami Heat

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Other Bets to Make

San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on the road. Miami is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and are 2-3 ATS in their last five games at home. The Heat are 15-2-1 ATS in their last 18 games played against the Southwest Division. Head to head, the Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Heat.

Miami dropped games to the Nets and Knicks recently but remember that those games were played on the road. Miami has the best home record in the NBA and they have lost just once at the American Airlines Arena so far this season. The Heat need to get back on the winning side and there is no better place to do it than at home where they are the best in the business.

Prediction: Heat -5.5

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The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the Spurs. San Antonio has hit the over in four out of their last six road games played. The over is also 7-1 in their last eight games played against the Eastern Conference. The total has gone over in 14 out of the last 17 games played by the Heat. The over is 3-2 in Miami’s last five home games played, and the over is also 5-1 in the Heat’s last six games played against the Eastern Conference. Head to head, the total has gone over in six out of the last eight meetings between these two teams.

San Antonio has played good defense as of late as they held the Bucks and Raptors to under 105 points. However, the Spurs still own the 5th worst scoring defense in the league this season and while Miami is just in the middle of the pack in both scoring and defense, they have the shooters that can take advantage of San Antonio’s porous defense and score big here.

Prediction: Over 221.5

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