As in every team sport, there is a big winner within the big winner. Aside from the champion team, the best player in the championship game also gets recognition as the Most Valuable Player or the MVP.

With Super Bowl 53 getting closer, let’s take a look at who the oddsmakers think will be named as Super Bowl MVP:

Historically Speaking

Historically, the Super Bowl MVP has come from the winning team except in 1971 when linebacker Chuck Howley won the award despite his Dallas Cowboys losing to the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl V. So when making your pick here, you might as well decide first who is going to win between the Patriots and Rams. When you’ve picked which team will win, you will now have narrowed down your choices. Now for the players.

When you take a look at the record books, history will tell us that quarterbacks have the best chance of winning the Super Bowl MVP. That’s because since the first Super Bowl, 29 quarterbacks have been named as Super Bowl MVP. Only seven previous winners were running backs and six were wide receivers Four ex-Super Bowl MVPs  were linebackers, two were defensive tackles and another two were safeties. One kick returner, a defensive tackle and one cornerback also took home the MVP award.

In the last 10 Super Bowls, seven quarterback have won the award, the last of which was Nick Foles in 2018 who led the Philadelphia Eagles to an unlikely Super Bowl title last season. Two out of the 10 past Super Bowl MVPs were linebackers and this were Malcolm Smith in 2014 and Von Miller in 2016. Wide receiver Santonio Holmes in 2009 was the other non-quarterback Super Bowl MVP winner of the past decade.

Who Are The Favorites?

When you take a look at the favorites, New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is on top of the list at +110. Brady is of course the only four-time winner of the Super Bowl MVP and he’s won in all but one of the Patriots championship seasons. No question, Brady is the top favorite because not only has he risen from being a 6th round pick to arguably the greatest quarterback ever, Brady has continued to defy age while playing at a high level. The Patriots were counted out this year with Brady turning 41. But Captain Comeback has continued to play great in big games and deliver when needed the most. Brady threw for 4,355 yards in 16 regular season games or an average of 272.18 yards per game. But he threw for 343 against the Chargers and 348 against the Chiefs in two playoff games this season.

Jared Goff is next to Brady at +225. The Rams’ starting quarterback threw for 4,688 yards and 32 touchdowns during the regular season. Goff however, has thrown just a total of 483 yards with one touchdown and one interception in two playoff games played this year. But if this Super Bowl becomes a shootout, it’s either going to be Brady or Goff.

Todd Gurley comes next at +1300. Gurley was the Rams’ top running back during the regular season as he led the entire league in rushing touchdowns with 21.Gurley’s rushed for 125 total yards in the current postseason but teammate C.J Anderson has rushed for more at 159 yards in two playoff games plead.

Patriots top running back Sony Michel is in fourth place at +1600. Michel leads all running backs with 242 yards rushed in the current postseason and is averaging 4.57 yards rushed per attempt. Michel has a total of five rushing touchdowns scored in the current playoffs.

Here is the expanded list of odds for Super Bowl MVP, odds taken from Bovada as of 1/23/19:

  • Tom Brady +110
  • Jared Goff +225
  • Todd Gurley +1300
  • Sony Michel +1600
  • C.J. Anderson +2000
  • Aaron Donald +2000
  • James White +2000
  • Julian Edelman +2500
  • Rob Gronkowski +3500
  • Brandin Cooks +4000
  • Robert Woods +4000
  • Rex Burkhead +6600
  • Aqib Talib +6600

My Pick For Super Bowl MVP

It’s easy to go with the favorite here because not only are the Patriots favored to win it all,  Brady has won the MVP award in four out of the Patriots’ five championship seasons. In the current postseason, Brady leads all quarterbacks this postseason with a total of 691 passing yards. That’s more than 100 yards over the #2 guy Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs.

Betting Prediction

I’m picking Tom Brady to win a fifth Super Bowl MVP because he’s been here before and he’s actually playing very well in the postseason. If you like Brady too, bet on him now since his odds are fast moving. Tom was at +450 entering the Conference championships but is now at +110 less than a week later. Brady’s odds will continue to rise as the game nears.

Place Your Bet Here

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