Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts 10/20/19 NFL Betting Odds, Preview and Prediction

The Houston Texans play the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, October 20, 2019 at the Lucas Oil Stadium.

Texans Offense Surging

The Houston Texans started their season with a 2-2 SU record but the team has won two straight games with their offense surging. Houston dropped 53 points on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 5 and then they out-gunned the Chiefs 31-24 last Sunday to improve to 4-2 on the season.

DeShaun Watson outdueled Patrick Mahomes in a battle of 2017 first round picks. Mahomes was picked two spots ahead of Watson in the draft but on Sunday, the latter threw for 280 yards with one touchdown while rushing for two more touchdowns to lead the Texans. Carlo Hyde ran for 116 yards with one touchdown against the team which traded him to Houston during the offseason.

The Texans are averaging 257 passing yards per game which is 10th best in the league. Houston is 5th in the NFL in rushing at 139.8 rushing yards per contest. The Texans are 8th in scoring at 27.0 points per game and they are giving up an average of 22.3 points per outing this season.

Colts Not Going Away

The Indianapolis Colts were shocked after quarterback Andrew Luck retired during the summer. But instead of fading away, the Colts have chosen to fight back behind the league’s 4th best rushing attack. Marlon Mack has rushed for 470 yards in five games to lead the Colts’ ground attack. The Colts are 3-2 on the season and are coming off a bye week and a win over the Kansas City Chiefs.

Mack rushed for 132 yards against the Chiefs and kicker Adam Vinatieri drilled four field goals as the Colts shut down 2018 MVP Patrick Mahomes and the vaunted Kansas City offense. After allowing 10 points in the first half, the Indianapolis defense limited the Chiefs to one field goal the rest of the way en route to their third win of the season.

Indianapolis is ranked 27th in passing with an average of 202 yards per game. But they make up for that weakness by being the 4th ranked rushing team in the NFL with an average of 142.0 yards per contest. The Colts are averaging 22.6 points per game and are allowing their opponents to score 23.0 points per contest. Indianapolis heads home as NFL betting favorites to beat the Texans in Week 7.

Who Wins?

Houston is 4-1 SU in their last five games played. The Texans are 2-1 SU in their three road games played this season. Indianapolis is 13-4 SU in their last 17 games played. The Colts are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played at home. Head to head, the Colts are 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings, including 4-1 SU in their last five games.

Andrew Luck surprised many when he announced his retirement during the offseason. Likewise, many thought that the Colts would be good as dead this season. However, they are 3-2 SU after five games and aren’t going away quietly. Indianapolis is coming off a win over the high-powered Kansas City Chiefs and are coming off a bye week to heal their battered and bruised players. They are fighting hard to win games and I think they will be able to fight off the Titans at home in this Sunday encounter. I’m picking the Indianapolis Colts to beat the Houston Texans on 10/20/19. Prediction: Indianapolis Colts

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Other Bets to Make

The Texans are 4-2 ATS in their last six games played. Houston is 3-0 ATS in three road games played this season and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against the AFC South Division. The Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in five games played this season. Indianapolis is 1-1 ATS at home this season, 4-2 ATS in their last six games played in October and 5-2 ATS in their last seven Week 7 games played. Head to head, the Colts are 5-3-2 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Texans, including 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

The Colts have outscored the Texans by an average of 2.9 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 4.67 points per game in their last three meetings. Indianapolis has won their three games this season by margins of six, three and two points and they have not lost by more than seven points this season. Except for their Oct. 6 win against the Falcons, the Texans have seen their 2019 games decided by seven points or fewer. I like the Colts to win at home. This team has proven that it can fight and grind out wins despite losing Andrew Luck to retirement. Prediction: Colts -1

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The total has gone under in three out of the last five games played by the Texans. Houston has seen the total go over in five out of their last six road games played. The total has gone over in three out of the last five games played by the Colts. Indianapolis has seen the total of over in their first two home games played this season. Head to head, the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is also 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams in Indianapolis and the under is also 8-3 in the Colts’ last 11 games played against the AFC Conference.

These teams have combined to score 40.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 48.0 points per game in their last three encounters. The Texans have gone over the 48 total in four of six games played including three out of their last four assignments. The Colts have gone over 48 total points in three out of their five games played this season. The Texans are a Top 10 scoring team this season at over 27 points per game and they are 5th in the NFL in rushing. The Colts have not score more than 27 points in a game this season and have played better in a low scoring contest where they can utilize the 4th best rushing average in the league. I like the under because these two are Top 5 rushing teams in the league this season. Prediction: Under 48

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