Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners 5/28/19 Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners play the second of a three-game set on Tuesday in Seattle.

Adrian Sampson will open on top of the hill for the Rangers on Tuesday. The 27-year-old right-hander has started a total of 5 games this season but has pitched in already 11 games. He has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.4, a WHIP of 1.46 and a BAA of .299. The Rangers are 4-6 in games where Sampson has pitched this season.

The Redmond, Wichita native has allowed a total of 23 earned runs this season on a total of 56 hits with seven home runs. Sampson has struck out a total of 29 batters while walking 12 others. In his last outing, Sampson one earned run on four hits in 5.1 innings of work He earned the win as Texas beat Seattle 2-1 last May 22nd.

Elvis Andrus leads Texas with his .327 batting average while Hunter Pence and Joey Gallos lead the Rangers with 35 RBIs each. Gallo also leads the team with 15 home runs this season. As a team, the Rangers are batting at a .254 clip and have scored a total of 283 runs on the season.

Left-hander Marco Gonzales will start for Seattle in Game 2 against the Rangers, The 27-year old Gonzaga product has started a total of 12 games this season and has put up a record of 5-4 win an ERA of 3.41, a WHIP of 1.33 and a BAA of .272. The Mariners are 2-5 in Gonzales’ last seven starts.

Gonzales has pitched in a total of 68.2 innings this season and has allowed 26 earned runs and seven home runs. He has struck out 48 batters and walked 19 others. In his last start against the Rangers on 5/22/19, Gonzales allowed just one earned run on seven hits in 7.0 innings pitched. However, he was handed the loss as the Mariners dropped a 1-2 contest against the Rangers.

Dee Gordon is the most prolific hitter in Seattle with his .281 batting average while Domingo Santana leads the Mariners with 41 RBIs on the season. Daniel Vogelbach has a team-best 14 home runs and contributed with 30 RBIs on the season. The Mariners are hitting the ball at .243 and have scored a total of 279 runs this season

Who Wins?

The Rangers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. Texas is 2-2 SU in their last four games played on the road. The Mariners are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played. Seattle is 1-3 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Rangers are 5-0 SU in their last five meetings but they are 2-5 SU in the last seven games played in Seattle.

Texas is 2-5 SU in their last seven games against a left-handed starter, 3-8 SU in their last 11 road games against an opponent with a losing home record, 5-16 SU in their last 21 Tuesday games, 2-7 in Sampson’s last 9 starts, 2-7 in Sampson’s last 9 starts on grass and 0-5 SU in Sampson’s last five road starts. Seattle is 12-4 SU in Gonzales’ last 16 Game 2 starts and 13-5 SU in Gonzales’ last 18 starts after quality starts in his previous game. The Mariners are also 7-3 in Gonzales’ last 10 starts after a five-day rest. The Mariners are 11-7 SU on the season in 18 games as betting favorites.

Seattle has been on the for the most part of the month of May and that’s one of the big reason why they have limped off to the last place. But now they are going to be playing at home in series’ against the Rangers, Angels and Astros so I expect them to start picking up the wins. As for the pitching match-up here, Gonzales has pitched well this season but has not gotten enough run support to win games. I look for the trend to change against Sampson who has struggled on the road. Texas is also just 2-5 SU in their last seven games played in Seattle. I’m picking the Seattle Mariners to beat the Texas Rangers on 5/28/19.

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Other Bets To Make

Texas is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Rangers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games played on the road. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Mariners are 1-3 ATS in their last four games played on the road.

The Rangers have outscored the Mariners by 0.7 run per game in their last 10 meetings, 1.33 runs per game in their last 3 meetings and their last three head to head games have been decided by a total of four runs. Four of Texas’ last six games have been decided by just one run while half of Seattle’s last six games had a winning margin of one run. Both these teams have played in close games as of late so I’ll take the plus 1.5 runs just to be sure. Prediction: Rangers +1.5

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The total has gone over in twenty out of the 38 games played by the Rangers this year. The over is 14-10-1 in their 25 games played on the road this season. The total has gone over in 32 out of the 51 games played by the Mariners this season. Seattle has seen the total go over in 13 out of their 22 home games played this season. Head to head, the over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 games between these two teams and the over is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings in Seattle.

These are two of the best hitting teams in the league who are also two of the worst pitching teams this year so I’m expecting a slugfest in this game. Texas is 2nd in the Majors in runs scored per game while Seattle is 10th after leading the league last month in the scoring department. The Rangers are 2nd in the big league in ERA while the Mariners are at 28th spot. The total has gone over in four out of Sampson’s last five starts against the American League West and also 4-1 in his last five starts overall. The over is also 8-3 in Seattle’s last 11 games against a right-handed starter and 5-0-1 in their last six home games against a righty. I’ll take the over in this matchup. Prediction: Over

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