Picks

Texas vs Oklahoma 12/1/18 NCAA Football Odds, Preview and Prediction

The Texas Longhorns face the Oklahoma Sooners for the Big 12 title on December 1st at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

There was no Big 12 championship game from 2011 to 2016 but the Sooners have won six out of the last seven installments of the title game with Texas being the only other school to win the title over that period.

Looking For First Big 12 Title Since 2009

After their 48-45 win over Oklahoma in Week 6, the Texas Longhorns struggled a bit, losing two of their next three games. However, Texas found the groove again late in the season to finish strong with three straight victories. Now the Longhorns are eyeing their first Big 12 title since beating Nebraska in 2009. The are also looking for their first back to back wins over the Sooners since 2009-09.

Texas doesn’t exactly have the kind of explosive offense that their opponent has. But the Longhorns’ offense is ranked 46th in scoring at 31.7 points per game and 38th in passing yards per game with 257.4. Its offense runs through sophomore quarterback Sam Ehlinger who threw for a total of 2,774 passing yards with 23 touchdowns and only four interceptions during the regular season.

What’re the Odds?

Texas vs Oklahoma 12/1/18
Moneyline Odds: Texas +250, Oklahoma -300
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/27/18

The Nation’s Top Rated Offense

The Oklahoma Sooners only lost one time during the regular season and that loss was to the Texas Longhorns during Week 6’s Red River Showdown. Since that loss, the Sooners have won six games in a row, averaging 52.67 points per game during that period. Now they find themselves facing the Longhorns again, with the stake much higher- for the Big 12 title. Oklahoma has won six out of the last seven Big 12 titles.

Oklahoma led the nation in scoring this season with their 50.1 points per game scoring average. Oklahoma had the 8th best passing and running games in the nation with 319.4 and 264.3 yards, respectively. Junior quarterback and Heisman hopeful Kyler Murray is the key to the Oklahoma offense. Murray threw for a total of 3,674 passing yards with 37 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Murray has also contributed on the ground, rushing for a total of 853 yards with another 11 scores. Murray posted the highest quarterback rating this season with his 96.1 rating.

Who Wins ?

Texas is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games played while Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played. Against each other, the Sooners are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against the Longhorns.

Oklahoma owns one of the most explosive offenses in the country but they also play very poor defense. It’s a wonder really how they won their last four games when they allowed their opponents to score an average of 47.3 points during that period. Well, perhaps that’s how good their offense is.

Betting Prediction

The Texas Longhorns meanwhile have more balance on both sides of the field. They were able to beat Oklahoma 48-45 on the road earlier this season and I have no doubt they can replicate the feat in a neutral venue, which would probably feel like playing at home because it will be held in Arlington. I’m looking forward to a big game from Sam Ehlinger who will be up against a pass defense that gives up the fourth most passing yards per game in all of college football at 286.

We’re picking the Texas Longhorns to beat the Oklahoma Sooners for the Big 12 title on 12/1/18.

Place Your Bet Here

Other Bets To Make

The Longhorns are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games played while the Sooners are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games played. Head to head, the Longhorns are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played including 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.Texas is 5-1 ATS in their last six games at a neutral venue while Oklahoma is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games at a neutral site.

What’re the Odds?

Texas vs Oklahoma 12/1/18
Spread Odds: Texas +7.5 (-114), Oklahoma -7.5 (-106)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/27/18

Betting Prediction

Texas is 13-5-2 in their last 20 games against teams with winning records. I’m predicting the Texas Longhorns to win this game but a worst, I believe they will be able to cover the spread with the plus points. I’ll take the underdog and the plus points here. The did it in week 6, they can do it again on Saturday.

Prediction: Texas +7.5

Place Your Bet Here

The under is 16-8 in Texas’ last 24 games played while the total has gone over in 7 out of the last 8 games played by Oklahoma and the total has also gone over in 6 out of the last nine games played between Texas and Oklahoma.

What’re the Odds?

Texas vs Oklahoma 12/1/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 78 -115, Under 78 -105
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/27/18

Betting Prediction

Oklahoma’s last four games had an average combined score of 100.5 points with no total lower than 95. And because the Sooners’ defense is ranked only 31st in the nation, I think the Longhorns can score all day against them. The Sooners also give up the 4th most passing yards this season and that’s good news for Sam Ehlinger and co. On offense, the Sooners have the top scoring offense in college football. I think this one will be a back and forth affair all game long.

Prediction: Over 78

Place Your Bet Here

Chris Blain