The Oklahoma City Thunder head to Hollywood for a showdown with the Los Angeles Lakers at the Staples Center on Tuesday, November 19, 2019.
This is the first of four meetings between these two Western Conference teams. The Thunder are currently in 4th place in the Northwest Division with their 5-7 SU record before Monday’s games. The Lakers are currently the best team in the league with their 11-2 SU record. Los Angeles heads to this game with four straight wins including three straight at home. The Thunder are 0-4 SU on the road this season while the Lakers are 7-1 SU at home so far.
The Oklahoma City Thunder went into rebuild mode when they traded stars Paul George and Russell Westbrook last summer. Despite that, the Thunder have remained competitive this season with their 5-7 SU record so far. While they have not more than two consecutive games this season, the team has also not lost by more than two straight games at this stage of the season.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder in scoring at 20.4 points per game this season. Danilo Gallinari is contributing 19.0 points and 5.1 rebounds per game while Chris Paul is leads OKC in assists and steals at 5.4 and 1.7, respectively. Steven Adams is averaging 8.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per game for the Thunder.
The Thunder are 21st in the league in scoring at 107.1 points per game this season. They rank 24th in rebounding at 43.3 boards hauled per contest and they are also 25th in assists at 21.6 dimes issued per outing. Oklahoma City is in the Top 10 in scoring defense at 107.1 points per game allowed this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers currently have the best record in the league right now at 11-2 SU. The Purple and Gold have won nine out of their last 10 games played and head to this game having won the first three games of their current homestand. The Lakers are the NBA betting favorites here and they have been such in every game they have played so far this season.
LeBron James is having a terrific 17th season for the Lakers. King James is averaging 25.0 points, 7.6 rebounds and 11.2 assists per game this season. Anthony Davis has played through a sore shoulder and is putting up 24.5 points, 9.2 rebounds and 3.2 blocks per game on the season. Kyle Kuzma is the third Laker player scoring in double digits at 14.0 points per game.
Los Angeles ranks 15th in scoring at 110.8 points per game this season. The Purple and Gold are 15th in rebounding at 46.0 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 4th in passing at 26.5 assists per game this year. The Lakers are the second-best defensive team in the league with an average of 100.6 points per game allowed this season.
The Thunder entered Monday’s game against the Clippers with a 2-3 SU record in their last five games played. OKC is also 0-7 SU in their last seven road games and 4-8 in their last dozen games against the Western Conference heading to Monday night. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played. Los Angeles is also 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the Lakers are 3-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Thunder but the Thunder are 6-2 in their last eight games played at the Staples Center.
The Thunder are just 2-3 SU in their last five games played entering Monday’s games and the only team that they have beaten so far with a winning record has been the Philadelphia 76ers. Shai Gilgeous Alexander is having his best year ever while Danilo Gallinari and Chris Paul are also having good starts to the year. The Thunder are playing back to back games but don’t have to travel since their previous game was against the Clippers who also call Staples Center their home.
The Lakers are the top team in the league right now. This team has lost just once in their last 10 games played and are rolling with LeBron James and Anthony Davis playing well together. Avery Bradley is out with an injury while Anthony Davis is listed as probable with his shoulder issues. Despite those, Los Angeles has pretty much taken care of business so far this year.
LeBron James continues to impress in Year 17 and the rest of the team is feeding off him. Anthony Davis has shown that he can play through his sore shoulder while Dwight Howard is setting the defensive tone in Los Angeles. I think that the Thunder don’t have enough firepower to stop James and his crew, especially at home where the Purple and Gold are 7-1 SU this season.
Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City is 7-5 ATS in 12 games played this season. The Thunder are 2-2 ATS in four road games played this year. The Lakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Head to head, the Lakers are 3-2 ATS in their last five meetings against the Thunder. Los Angeles is also 3-2 ATS in their last five home games against the Thunder.
Thunder
+9.5 (-120)
Lakers
-9.5 (+100)
Odds from Bet365 as of 11/18/19
The Thunder have outscored the Lakers by an average of 2.9 points per game in their last 10 games played and by an average of 5.33 points per game in their last three encounters. Five of the Lakers’ seven home wins have been by double digits and they have won by an average margin of 17.2 points per game in their seven home games. I think the Lakers have played well enough at home to cover the spread.
Prediction: Lakers -9.5
The total has gone under in seven out of the 12 games played by the Thunder this season. The under is 2-2 in the Thunder’s four road games played so far. The under is 4-2 in Los Angeles’ last six home games played. Head to head, the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams. The under is also 2-1 in the last three head to head encounters at Staples Center.
Over
211.5 (-110)
Under
211.5 (-110)
Odds from Bet365 as of 11/18/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 222.7 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 226.67 points per game in their most recent three encounters. These teams are in the Top 10 in scoring defense with the Lakers ranked 2nd in that statistical category. OKC is also in the Bottom 10 in the league in scoring and the Lakers aren’t a high-scoring team this year either. The Lakers have allowed just 97.33 points per game during this current home stand. I think they dictate the tempo of this game.
Prediction: Under 211.5
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