Alabama Crimson Tide vs South Carolina Gamecocks 02/22/2023 NCAAB Preview and Prediction

The Alabama Crimson Tide visit the South Carolina Gamecocks at the Colonial Life Arena on Wednesday night.

Alabama is 23-4 SU and 16-10-1 ATS in 27 games played this season. The Crimson Tide are 13-1 SU in SEC play and currently lead Texas A&M by one-half game. They are coming off a dominating win over Georgia in their last game played.

South Carolina is 10-17 SU and 14-13 ATS this season. The Gamecocks are just 3-11 in conference play and are 10 games off the pace of the Crimson Tide. South Carolina defeated LSU in their most recent outing.

The Crimson Tide defeated the Gamecocks 90-71 in their last meeting on February 26, 2022.

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide saw a four-game winning streak end at the hands of the Tennessee Volunteers last week. They however rebounded with a dominant 108-59 massacre of Georgia last Saturday as 19-point favorites.

Alabama is 13-1 SU and is the top team in the SEC right now although they are just 0.5 games up on Texas A&M. They are 23-4 SU on the season and their other losses have come against UConn, Gonzaga, and Oklahoma.

Brandon Miller led the Crimson Tide with 21 points against Georgia. Miller has posted four double-doubles in conference play and is averaging 18,7 points and 8 rebounds per game this season.

Mark Sears has put up at least 15 points in three out of his last four games played. Sears is averaging 13.6 points per game this season while shooting 39.6% from the field. Freshman forward Noah Clowney is averaging 9.8 points and 8 rebounds per game for Alabama.

The Crimson Tide rank 2nd in the Ken Pomeroy rankings and have dropped from no. 1 to no. 2 in this week’s AP Top 25 polls. Alabama is 8-2 SU in their last 10 road games and they have scored at least 90 points in their last two games played.

South Carolina Gamecocks

After an eight-game losing streak, the South Carolina Gamecocks have won two out of their last three games played. In their most recent outing, the Gamecocks pulled off an 82-73 win over LSU as 8-point road underdogs. They are however just 3-11 SU in conference play although they have covered the betting spread in four out of their last 5 games played.

Gregory Jackson II has scored at least 20 points twice in their last four games played. The freshman is averaging 15.3 points per game this season and has netted 20 or more points 9 times this year.

Meechie Johnson has scored a total of 39 points in his last two games, including 20 in their last outing. Johnson is putting up 12.8 points per game this season while Hayden Brown has scored 11.4 points per game on 42.9% shooting.

The Gamecocks are 224th in the Ken Pomeroy rankings. They are winless at home in SEC play so far. South Carolina is scoring an average of 64.7 points per game this year, putting them 333rd in scoring. They are also only 268th in scoring defense, allowing 72.8 points per game.

Tide vs Gamecocks SU Prediction

The Crimson Tide are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played against the Gamecocks. Alabama is 4-1 SU in their last 5 road games against South Carolina.

Alabama Crimson Tide SU trends:

• The Crimson Tide are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games played.
• The Crimson Tide are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played at home.
• The Crimson Tide are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played in February.
• The Crimson Tide are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games played against the Southeastern Conference.

South Carolina Gamecocks SU trends:

• The Gamecocks are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games played.
• The Gamecocks are 0-7 SU In their last 7 games played at home.
• The Gamecocks are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played against the Southeastern Conference.
• The Gamecocks are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played on a Wednesday.

Picking the winner of this game isn’t difficult at all. Alabama is the no. 2 ranked team in the nation and they are one of the top betting favorites to win the 2023 NCAA men’s basketball title. They opened the season with +5000 title odds but are now down to +800 at the top NCAAB sportsbooks. They have the firepower to blow out the Gamecocks and the defense to hold them down on offense. The odds are not yet available as of this writing. However, given the point spread, Alabama will be at huge minus-money odds here. I’m not going to bet on the money line here but if you ask me who wins, it’s Alabama. Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide

Crimson Tide vs Gamecocks ATS Prediction

The Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Gamecocks. The underdog is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 games played between these two teams.

Alabama Crimson Tide ATS trends:

• The Crimson Tide are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
• The Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.
• The Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
• The Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight-up win.
• The Crimson Tide are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning % below .400.
• The Crimson Tide are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
• The Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. a team with a losing straight-up record.
• The Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a losing home record.
• The Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road game played on a Wednesday.
• The Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against the Southeastern Conference.
• The Crimson Tide are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 overall games played against the Southeastern Conference.

South Carolina Gamecocks ATS trends:

• The Gamecocks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• The Gamecocks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• The Gamecocks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in February.
• The Gamecocks are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Wednesday.
• The Gamecocks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Southeastern Conference.
• The Gamecocks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

There’s no question who’s going to win this game. The Crimson Tide are the way much better team in this matchup. However, they have not covered the spread well when double-digit favorites, going just 7-5 ATS against the points spread.

On the other hand, South Carolina is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games as double-digit underdogs. Also, they are scoring better in their last four games played, averaging 71 points per game during that span. The Crimson Tide have also allowed an average of 74 points per game in their last four games played on the road.

I think this spread is too high. Alabama is coming off a big win and might cool off while South Carolina heads to this contest after a win over LSU. I’ll take the plus points here and roll with the underdogs. Prediction: South Carolina +17.5

Crimson Tide vs Gamecocks Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone over in each of the last three games played between these two teams The under is 2-1 in the last 3 games played between these two teams.

Alabama Crimson Tide over/under trends:

• The under is 7-3 in the Crimson Tide’ last 10 overall.
• The under is 5-1-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 7 road games.
• The under is 6-0 in the Crimson Tide’s last 6 games following an ATS win.
• The under is 5-0-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 6 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.
• The under is 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The under is 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
• The under is 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 5 games versus a team with a winning % below .400.
• The under is 6-2 in the Crimson Tide’s last 8 games following a straight-up win.
• The under is 5-2 in the Crimson Tide’s last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record.
• The over is 5-2-1 in the Crimson Tide’ last 8 Wednesday games.

South Carolina Gamecocks over/under trends:

• The over is 10-4 in the Gamecocks’ last 14 overall.
• The under is 9-4 in the Gamecocks’ last 13 home games.
• The over is 4-1 in the Gamecocks’ last 5 games following a straight-up win.
• The over is 6-2 in the Gamecocks’ last 8 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
• The over is 5-2 in the Gamecocks’ last 7 games following an ATS win.
• The over is 5-2 in the Gamecocks’ last 7 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
• The over is 20-8 in the Gamecocks’ last 28 home games against a team with a winning road record.
• The over is 9-5 in the Gamecocks’ last 14 conference games played.
• The under is 4-1 in the Gamecocks’ last 5 home games played on a Wednesday.

The Crimson Tide are averaging almost 20 points per game than the Gamecocks this division. If South Carolina wants to win this game, they will have to keep this as a low-scoring game because they do not have the firepower to match Alabama.

Alabama’s defense is also allowing just 68.69 points this season while holding opponents to 36.99% FG shooting and 26.26% 3P shooting. South Carolina is conceding 72.77 points per game this campaign.

These teams have combined to score an average of 143.2 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. I like these teams to go under the total. Prediction: Under 148.5

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