Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets 02/07/2023 NBA Odds and Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena for their fourth and final meeting of the season on Tuesday night. These teams played each other in their most recent assignments last Sunday with the Wolves beating the Nuggets 128-98.

Minnesota is 29-27 SU and they are in second place in the Northwest Division but are 9 games behind the Nuggets. The Wolves are also in 7th place in the latest Western Conference team standings. Minnesota is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played.

Denver is the best team in the Eastern Conference with their 37-17 SU record. The Nuggets are also the top team in the Northwest Division and they enjoy a 9-game lead over the Timberwolves. The Nuggets are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves are making a splash even with Karl Anthony-Towns out since late December. Minnesota has won five out of their last seven games played and they are in 7th place in the Western Conference team standings, just one-half game from the 5th-seeded Dallas Mavericks.

Minnesota ranks 11th in scoring at 115.5 points per game this season. They are 4th with a shooting percentage of 49.1% and are also hitting 35.4% of their three-pointers. The Wolves have scored an average of 119 points per game in their last three games.

Defensively, the T-Wolves are 19th in scoring defense at 114.9 points per game. Minnesota is allowing opponents to shoot 46.5% from the field and 35.0% from deep.

They are grabbing only 41.3 rebounds per game, including only 9 offensive rebounds per game.

D’Angelo Russell led the Wolves last Sunday with 18 points and 10 assists. It was the second consecutive game where D-Lo has posted a double-double and was his 6th overall this season.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets saw a three-game winning streak end last Sunday after they lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Denver resed four key players on Sunday, including Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. Without their top 2 scorers, the Nuggets lost by 30 points.

Denver is 7th in the league in scoring at 116.8 points per game this season. The Nuggets are shooting 50.8% from the field and 39.6% from three-point distance, both the best marks in the NBA this season. In their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 120.9 points per game while shooting 59.6%

On defense, the Nuggets are 13th overall and are allowing 113 points per game. Opponents are shooting 48.1% from the field and 35.2% from deep against them this season. They are pulling down 42.7 rebounds per game while also owning a +2.3-point differential.

Nikola Jokic is having another MVP season as the Joker is averaging 24.8 points, 11.3 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per game this season. Jamal Murray is also having a fine season with 20.2 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 5.8 assists per game. In his last 8 games played, Murray has scored an average of 20.8 points per game while shooting 42.9% from three-point range.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets SU Prediction

The Timberwolves are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played. Minnesota is also 2-1 SU in their last three games played in Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves SU trends:

• The Timberwolves are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games played.
• The Timberwolves are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games played on the road.
• The Timberwolves are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played against the Northwest Division.
• The Timberwolves are 5-9 SU in their last 14 road games against the Western Conference.
• The Timberwolves are 20-17 SU in their last 37 games played overall against the Western Conference.
• The Timberwolves are 13-15 SU in their last 28 games played as underdogs.

Denver Nuggets SU trends:

• The Nuggets are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games played.
• The Nuggets are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games played at home.
• The Nuggets are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games played against the Western Conference.
• The Nuggets are 17-2 SU in their last 19 home games against the Western Conference.
• The Nuggets are 31-10 SU in 41 games played as betting favorites this season.
• The Nuggets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against the Northwest Division.

Denver traveled to Minnesota last weekend without its top players and the Timberwolves ended up blowing out the Nuggets by 30 points last Sunday. Now, it’s Minnesota’s turn to head to Denver and you can bet that the Nuggets’ will have their top players back on Tuesday. 

While Coach Mike Malone did not have Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon last Sunday, the three aren’t out due to injury. It just so happened that the Nuggets played on Saturday and only had 22 hours of rest before playing the Wolves. Had that been a playoff game, you bet the three would have played. But considering we’re still in early February, Denver didn’t think it would be a good gamble to risk their key players on back-to-back nights.

The Nuggets will be without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope who suffered an ankle sprain against the Hawks last Saturday. Bones Hyland has not seen action in Denver’s last three games played as he is believed to be a trade asset.

Meanwhile, the Timberwolves will be without All-Star center Karl-Anthony Towns on Tuesday. Towns has missed action since late December with a calf injury. Despite Towns’ absence, the Wolves are still in 7th place in the latest Western Conference team standings.

Kyle Anderson has missed the team’s last two games with back spasms and is uncertain to play on Tuesday. Austin Rivers will also not suit up for Denver as he is still serving a three-game suspension after his involvement in an on-court altercation against the Orlando Magic last Friday.

This marks the 4th and final meeting between these two Northwest Division rivals this season and the home team has won in each of their first three games played this season.

For as long as Jokic, Murray, and Gordon play on Tuesday, the Nuggets should be fine against a T-wolves team without KAT.

Prediction: Denver Nuggets

Timberwolves vs Nuggets ATS Prediction

The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played against the Nuggets. Minnesota is also 24-6 ATS in their last 30 games played in Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves ATS trends:

• The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
• The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
• The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning % above .600.
• The Timberwolves are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The Timberwolves are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• The Timberwolves are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Timberwolves are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Denver Nuggets ATS trends:

• The Nuggets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss.
• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
• The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
• The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
• The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The Nuggets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Timberwolves have dominated the Nuggets in their recent ATS battles, going 24-6 ATS over their last 30 games including 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.

However, the Nuggets have been really well this season. They have the best record in the Western Conference and are 19-10 ATS at home, including 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Denver is also getting Jokic, Murray, and Gordon back on Tuesday. The Nuggets are also looking for payback after Sunday’s loss.

Given Sunday’s loss is still a fresh wound, the Nuggets should bounce back strong.

Prediction: Nuggets -7.5

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under Prediction

The over is 4-1-1 in the last six games played between these two teams. The total has gone over in four out of their last five meetings in Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves over/under trends:

• The under is 5-1-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 7 overall.
• The under is 5-0 in the Timberwolves’ last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
• The under is 5-0 in the Timberwolves’ last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
• The under is 3-0-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 4 games versus a team with a winning % above .600.
• The under is 5-1-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The under is 4-1-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 6 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The under is 4-1-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 6 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The over is 3-1-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 5 against a team with a winning straight-up record.

Denver Nugget over/under trends:

• The over is 4-0-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 overall.
• The over is 4-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 home games
• The over is 4-0-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
• The over is 4-0-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
• The over is 13-6-1 in the Nuggets’ last 20 against a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The under is 4-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
• The under is 4-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 Tuesday games.
• The under is 7-2 in the Nuggets’ last 9 games following an ATS loss.
• The under is 6-2 in the Nuggets’ last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

These teams combined for 226 points last Sunday even with Denver playing minus 4 key players. With Jokic, Murray, and Gordon back, expect the Nuggets to score more points on Tuesday. Minnesota has scored 119 or more points in each of their last three games played.

Denver scored 122 or more points in three straight games before putting up just 98 last Sunday. With Jokic back, the Nuggets’ offense should be firing from all cylinders, especially after losing to this same team by 30 points last Sunday.

Prediction: Over 235.5

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