Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors Game 4 Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Toronto Raptors and Golden State Warriors square-off again on Friday night at the Oracle Arena for Game 5 of 2019 NBA Finals.

Toronto Took Advantage

Toronto took advantage of Klay Thompson’s absence in Game 3 as they raced to an early lead which they never relinquished. Kawhi Leonard had a superb all-around effort with 30 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 steals and 2 blocks as the Raptors easily outclassed the short-handed Warriors from start to finish.

Kyle Lowry had his best game of the Finals with 23 points on 9-18 shooting including 5-9 from behind the three-point arc. Marc Gasol had 17 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for Toronto. Gasol is averaging 18.5 points per game in the Raptors’ two wins this NBA Finals.

Short Handed Warriors

Golden State played without Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Kevon Looney in Game 3. As a result, Steph Curry had to do more on offense to give the Warriors a chance to win the game. Curry scored a playoffs-best 47 points but it all went for naught as he did not the kind of bench support he needed to hold court without Klay Thompson.

The Warriors shot the ball at an anemic 39.6 from the field while Raptors were red hot at 52.4% from the floor. The Raptors also made a total of 17 three-pointers in Game, 3 besting the Dubs’ total of twelve three-point baskets made. Steve Kerr told reporters at the post-game press conference that Klay is going to play in Game 4.

Who Wins?

Toronto is  7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Raptors are 2-2 SU in their last four games played at home. Golden State is also 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Warriors are 3-1 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Dubs are 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings against the Raptors. The Warriors are 13-2 SU in their last 15 home games against the Raptors.

The Raptors are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games as underdogs but 6-4 SU in their last 10 road games as underdogs. On the other hand, the Warriors are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games like the basketball betting favorites and 7-3 SU in their last 10 games as home favorites.

Toronto was in full control of Game 3 as the Warriors sat out Klay Thompson. We saw how hard Curry and company tried to win that game but without one-half of the Splash Brothers, the Durant-less Warriors were no match and one step behind all the time. But during the post-game press conference of Game 3, Steve Kerr already announced that Klay will play in Game 4. That said, the Warriors are the NBA betting favorites even after a double-digit loss.

We saw in Game 2 what Klay is capable of doing to Toronto and even if he isn’t a hundred percent OK in Game 4, his mere presence alone is going to give his teammates back their confidence. Thompson is averaging in the ’20s and Toronto won Game 3 by “just” 14 points so that gives you an idea of the difference without Thompson on the floor. I’m picking the Golden State Warriors to beat the Toronto Raptors in Game 4 of the 2019 NBA Finals.

Place Your Bet Here

Other Bets To Make

The Raptors are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. Toronto is 2-2 ATS in their last four games played on the road. The Warriors are 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. Golden State is 1-3 ATS in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Warriors but Golden State is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Oakland.

The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Pacific Division teams. Toronto is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams from the Pacific Division, 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games as basketball betting underdogs and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games as underdogs. Toronto has covered in 8 out of their last 12 games as underdogs while the Warriors have not covered in six out of their last eight road games. With Klay Thompson back, the Warriors should get their conference back as well. Prediction: Warriors -5.5

Place Your Bet Here

Toronto is 4-0 ATS in their last four games when playing on one day rest and 0-4 ATS in their last four Friday games. The Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played against the Eastern Conference and 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.

The over is 5-4-1 in the Raptors’ last 10 games played. The total has gone over in 10 out of the last 16 games of Toronto against Western Conference teams. The Warriors have seen the total go over in six out of their last 10 games played. Head to head, the over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings at the Oracle Arena and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.

The over is 7-3 in the Raptors’ last 10 road games against Eastern division teams, 7-3 in their last 10 games as underdogs and 7-2-1 in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The over is 7-3 in the Warriors’ last 10 games as betting favorites. 216 is a high number but given that two out of the three games in the series have yielded a total score of at least 217 points plus the fact that Klay Thompson is back, I think 216 is an easy cover for both these teams. Prediction: Over 216

Place Your Bet Here

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 04/19/2023 NBA Odds and Prediction New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers 04/17/2023 MLB Preview and Prediction Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees 04/14/2023 MLB Preview and Prediction OKC Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans 04/12/2023 NBA Play-in Tournament Odds and Prediction