Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees 04/14/2023 MLB Preview and Prediction

The Minnesota Twins play Game 2 of a three-game set against the New York Yankees in Yankee Stadium. The Twins took Game 1 11-2 as Michael A. Taylor, rookie Edouard Julien, and Carlos Correia hit consecutive home runs and the Twins scored 9 runs in the opening inning to blitz the home team.

The Twins are 9-4 on the season and are on top of the AL Central. Minnesota has won its last three games played and they are currently 2 games ahead of Cleveland in the division standings.

The Yankees are 8-5 on the year and they are in 2nd place in the AL East, five games behind the still-undefeated Tampa Bay Rays. The Yankees have not lost back-to-back games this season.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been a winning team early in the season. Minnesota began its campaign with four consecutive wins. They then took two of three games against the defending champions Astros and also went 2-1 versus the White Sox earlier this week.

Pitching has been their best asset this year as Minnesota is just ranked 22nd in batting average at .236. They are in for a tough matchup as the Yankees are third in ERA at 2.72. Designated hitter Byron Buxton and left fielder Trevor Larnach each have 13 hits through the team’s first dozen games played this year.

Right-hander Tyler Mahle will open on top of the mound for the Twins on Friday. Mahle allowed only one earned run on five hits in 5.0 innings pitched while striking out seven batters during his first start of the season against Miami. He wasn’t as effective in his second start against Houston where he was tagged for four earned runs on 8 hits in 6.0 innings pitched last Sunday. Mahle was 6-8 with an ERA of 4.40 in 23 starts split between Cincinnati and Minnesota.

New York Yankees

The Yankees are 8-4 SU on the season and they have not yet lost consecutive games this campaign. The pinstripes have taken at least two games from every opponent they have faced so far this year. They bounced back from a series-opening loss to Cleveland with wins on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Yankees open a 10-game homestand that features upcoming series against the Angels and Blue Jays.

They rank 14th in the majors in batting average at .249 and are facing a Minnesota pitching staff that is No.2 in ERA at 2.50. Reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge leads New York with 14 hits, four home runs, and 7 RBIs in 44 at-bats so far this season.

Left-hander Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees on Friday night. He surrendered seven hits against Philadelphia in his first start but limited the damage to one earned run in 5.0 innings. In his second start, Cortes allowed two earned runs on four hits while striking out five batters in 5.1 innings of work against Baltimore. Cortes was one of the best starters in the majors last season with a 12-4 record and a 2.44 ERA in 28 starts. He brings an 8:2 K: BB ratio this season.

Twins vs Yankees Prediction

The Twins are 13-39 in their last 52 games played against the Yankees. Minnesota is also 12-44 in their last 56 games played in New York.

Minnesota Twins betting trends:

• The Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
• The Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 road games
• The Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher
• The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
• The Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a win.
• The Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 games on grass.
• The Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• The Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games versus a left-handed starter.
• The Twins are 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a team with a winning record.
• The Twins are 6-20 in their last 26 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• The Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 games when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against American League East.
• The Twins are 3-12 in their last 15 road games opposite a left-handed starter.

New York Yankees betting trends:

• The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• The Yankees are 60-27 in their last 87 home games.
• The Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
• The Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
• The Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter.
• The Yankees are 59-22 in their last 81 games versus American League Central.
• The Yankees are 92-38 in their last 130 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The Yankees are 45-20 in their last 65 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• The Yankees are 47-21 in their last 68 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• The Yankees are 20-9 in their last 29 home games against a right-handed starter.
• The Yankees are 71-32 in their last 103 Game 2s of a series.
• The Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 games when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• The Yankees are 3-10 in their last 13 games versus a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15
• The Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning % above .600
• The Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 Friday games
• The Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

The Yankees should not have much trouble winning this game. From a pitching match-up, Cortes was one of the best starters in the majors last season with a 12-4 record and an ERA of 2.44 in 28 starts. He has been able to build on that strong campaign and has only allowed three combined runs in two appearances with two wins.

 The Yankees also have one of the most explosive lineups in the majors and Cortes should get the run support he needs to win this game. New York also has 12 stolen bases this year as compared to only two for the Twins. That should be another key to winning this game.

Prediction: New York Yankees -180

Twins vs Yankees Over/Under Prediction

The over is 39-15-2 in the last 56 games played between these two teams. The over is also 20-8-1 in the last 28 meetings in New York.

Minnesota Twins over/under trends:

• The under is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 overall.
• The under is 9-4 in the Yankees’ last 13 home games.
• The over is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 road games
• The under is 3-0-1 in the Twins’ last 4 Friday games
• The over is 4-0 in the Twins’ last 4 vs. American League East
• The under is 2-0-2 in the Twins’ last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter
• The under is 3-0-1 in the Twins’ last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
• The over is 6-1 in the Twins’ last 7 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower
• The under is 5-1 in the Twins’ last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Twins’ last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• The over is 7-2-2 in the Twins’ last 11 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The under is 16-5 in the Twins’ last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The over is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• The over is 3-1-2 in the Twins’ last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• The under is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 on grass.
• The over is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The under is 7-3-2 in the Twins’ last 12 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

New York Yankees over/under trends

• The under is 16-7 in the Yankees’ last 23 overall.
• The under is 7-1 in the Yankees’ last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
• The over is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
• The under is 4-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 games when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• The under is 4-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 games versus the American League Central.
• The under is 4-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• The over is 4-1-2 in the Yankees’ last 7 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The under is 7-2 in the Yankees’ last 9 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• The under is 16-5 in the Yankees’ last 21 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• The under is 34-14-3 in the Yankees’ last 51 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher
• The under is 24-9-1 in the Yankees’ last 34 games following a loss.
• The under is 8-3 in the Yankees’ last 11 home games versus a right-handed starter.
• The under is 8-3-1 in the Yankees’ last 12 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• The under is 21-8-1 in the Yankees’ last 30 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• The under is 16-7 in the Yankees’ last 23 on grass.
• The under is 16-7 in the Yankees’ last 23 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• The under is 34-15-2 in the Yankees’ last 51 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Both these teams have shown the ability to put up runs this season. The Twins lineup can just dominate games while the Yankees can score at a great rate as well. New York is tied for 4th with 20 home runs on the season while the Twins are 15th with 14.

These two pitching staffs are good overall but don’t forget that Yankee Stadium produces plenty of fly balls that end in the seats. With the ability to hit the long ball, these teams should have no problem going over the total.

Prediction: Over 7.5

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