Tyson Fury vs Tom Schwarz 6/15/19 Boxing Odds, Preview and Prediction

British boxing star Tyson Fury returns to the ring to face unknown Tom Schwarz on June 15, 2019 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Fury was expected to fight Deontay Wilder in an immediate rematch after their December 2018 showdown ended in a split draw. But after Fury signed a deal with ESPN involving Top Rank, the negotiations with Wilder fell off and the American WBC world heavyweight champion has decided to make a mandatory title defense against Dominic Breazeale on May 18 in New York.

With the WIlder rematch off, Fury needed a fight to keep himself busy and they took this fight. Like Wilder, Fury has been slammed for his choice of opponent but if you’re like both Wilder and Fury who have big fights ahead, these are just preludes to those bouts. A win by Fury here could set up a rematch with Wilder late this year. It could even lead to a unification with Anthony Joshua.

The Lineal Champion

Tyson Fury is considered one of the best heavyweights today along with Anthony Joshua and Deontay Wilder. Fury is the lineal heavyweight champion, earning that title by defeating Wladimir Klitschko in 2015 while winning all of Klitschko’s belts. Fury lost all his alphabet his belts after suffering from mental health issues but will remain as lineal champion until he is defeated.

Fury stands 6-9 and has a reach of 85 inches and fights out of the orthodox stance. The Gypsy King has an outstanding record of 27-0-1 with 19 knockouts. The only blemish on his record is that split draw against Deontay Wilder last December which stands as his last bout. Five out of Fury’s last seven wins have been by stoppage.

The Gypsy King has uncanny mobility for a man his size. Fury also has excellent boxing skills and has the ability to break down his opponents. He also has natural punching power and has great movement inside the ring. He has fast hands, quick feet and is mentally strong. Against Deontay Wilder, we also found out that he has superhuman recovery skills.

The Unknown Factor

Tom Schwarz is the current WBO international heavyweight champion and the former WBO youth heavyweight champion. The 24 year old German has a record of 24-0 with 16 knockouts. Schwarz stands 6-5 and has an undisclosed reach while fighting as an orthodox fighter.

Five out of his last six wins have been by knockout with the only exception a disqualification win against Senad Gashi in a fight stopped due to excessive headbutts. The loss was Gashi’s first career defeat. His best win may very well be his 2015 stoppage of previously unbeaten Ilja Mezencev for the WBO youth title in 2015.

Schwarz has fought all but one of his fights in his native Germany. When you look at the opponents he’s fought, it’s hard to find a recognizable name. While this may suggest that he isn’t in Fury’s level,  it also says that there is an unknown factor here that makes him dangerous to some degree. We don’t know how hard he hits, how good he boxes or how durable he is.

Who Wins?

It’s hard to give a rating on Schwarz because when you read his background, he didn’t have much of an amateur career and as a pro, it’s hard to find a familiar name in his resume. I’ve seen a couple of fights involving Tom Schwarz and based on what I saw, the German likes to pressure his opponents and walk them down. He has a high guard and one thing I noticed that might be a key factor in this fight is that he looks slow and doesn’t have enough head movement. I also don’t think that he is as technically skilled as Fury inside the ring (but nobody is, right?).

His record suggests that he has punching power because he has 16 knockouts in 24 wins. But again, his resume looks light and I’m not sure how powerful those punches are, really. If he hits as hard as Deontay Wilder does, then we may have a fight here. If not, I think it’s going to be a long, long night for the German boxer.

We know that Tyson Fury is a very skilled and very smart boxer. When he sees how slow Tom Schwarz is in person, he should be able to take advantage and box his way around his foe. Fury’s a fast and agile heavyweight and also knows how to pace himself very well. I think that if Fury wants to get a workout to keep himself in shape and ready for his next big fight, he will be content with piling up the rounds on Schwarz and winning an easy decision.

This is not saying though that Tom Schwarz is going to be a walk in the part because maybe he is but then maybe he isn’t. The unknown factor makes this fight intriguing and who knows if he has plenty of surprises inside his bag of tricks. But the huge disparity in their level of opposition suggests that Fury is way above Tom Schwarz’s level and the German is headed to his first defeat here. Before placing a bet on this fight read my boxing betting tips.

I expect Tom Schwarz to go for broke early. He has nothing to lose and everything to gain. Fury has to be careful not to get too comfortable here because we’re not sure what the full Schwarz arsenal has. All things considered though, I think Tyson Fury is going to have a workout here. While waiting for his big fights, he needs to stay in shape and that’s what this fight is about. Fury will utilize his boxing skills and just win this fight on points. I am looking at a 12-0 shutout here and I think the only way Schwarz is going to win this fight is via knockout but I don’t think he has the punching power to drop Fury.  

Prediction: Tyson Fury by an easy decision.

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