The UFC heads to Rochester on May 18th for UFC Fight Night 152 with a fight card at the Blue Cross Arena in Rochester, New York. A welterweight clash between two former top lightweights will headline the event as former UFC lightweight champion Rafael Dos Anjos takes on Kevin Lee who will be fighting for the first time as a welterweight.
Dos Anjos is the former UFC lightweight champion who has campaigned at welterweight since June 2017. RDA won his first three bouts but lost successive fights to champions Colby Covington and Kamaru Usman. RDA has a record of 28-11 with five knockouts and 9 wins by submission. He stands 5-8 with a reach of 70 inches.
Kevin Lee moves up to welterweight after failing to win gold at lightweight. The Motown Phenom has a record of 17-4 with two knockouts and 8 wins by submission. Lee is 5-9 and has a reach of 77 inches. Lee lost two out of his last three fights at lightweight before deciding to move up in weight class.
This is Dos Anjos’ sixth bout at welterweight and even if he lost his last two bouts here, he has the advantage over Kevin Lee who’s making his debut at this division. Dos Anjos has the advantage in skills and experience here. However, Lee has a significant seven-inch reach advantage, which he could use to keep Dos Anjos away from him. RDA will try to eliminate Lee’s length by taking him to the ground. Lee has a good ground game, but Dos Anjos has one of the best ground games in the UFC. Lee has a good takedown defense of 80% and if he can keep this fight standing up, he’s going to win on points. I like the UFC betting value of RDA here with the plus money and being the better fighter overall.
Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos
Eubanks is back at bantamweight after moving up and down at flyweight. The 34-year-old was a finalist at The Ultimate Fighter 26 after going unbeaten in three fights there. However, here title fight with Nico Montano didn’t push through after she suffered health problems while trying to make her weight cut for the fight. She is 5-4 with a reach of 67 inches. Her record is 4-2 with 2 knockouts.
Eubanks
+185
Ladd
-220
Odds from betonline.ag as of 5/03/19
Ladd is undefeated at 7-0 with five knockouts and one submission victory. She is 2-0 with two knockouts in the UFC after stopping veterans Lina Lansberg and Tonya Evinger. Ladd stands 5-6 tall with a reach of 66 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. She was rumored to face Holly Holm but will now instead welcome Sijara Eubanks to the bantamweight division.
These women have fought before at Invicta 21 and Ladd won by unanimous decision. I like Eubanks’ potential she has decent stand-up and okay takedowns. However, Ladd has fought better opposition and has prevailed. I think this one is going to go the distance with Aspen Ladd outworking Eubanks for the win.
Prediction: Aspen Ladd
Cummings is an alumnus of the TUF, having competed in The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs Team Sonnen in 2013. The 34-year old from Irvin, Texas has a record of 22-6 with five knockouts and 11 submissions. He’s never been knocked out although he’s been submitted twice. Cummings stands 6-0 with a reach of 75 inches while fighting out of the southpaw stance.
Cummings
-120
Giles
+100
Odds from betonline.ag as of 5/03/19
Giles is undefeated at 11-0 with five knockouts and five wins via submission. He is 2-0 with 2 knockouts in UFC competition and is coming off a third-round stoppage of Antonio Braga Neto at UFC Fight Night 123. He stands 6-0 with a reach of 74 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance.
Giles is unbeaten as a pro and is 2-0 with 2 KOs in UFC competition but he’s not fought since December 2017. On the other hand, Zak Cummungs has won three out of his last four bouts. Giles is a well-rounded fighter while Cummings is a BJJ brown-belt with 11 submission wins. Giles has high offensive output but he’s got to be careful because if Cummings gets a hold of him on the ground, it’s going to be a nightmare.
Prediction Zak Cummings
Dawson earned a UFC contract from Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender series in 2017. His UFC stint was delayed after a USADA investigation which later cleared him of any wrongdoing. The “Prophet” is coming off a unanimous decision win over Julian Erosa at UFC Wichita. He has a record of 13-1 with 3 knockouts and 9 submission wins Dawson, who stands 5-10 with an undisclosed reach and who is a switch-hitter, is on a four-fight winning streak.
Dawson
-110
Trizano
-110
Odds from betonline.ag as of 5/03/19
Trizano is the winner of The Ultimate Fighter 27 and he is still unbeaten at 8-0 with 2 knockouts and 2 wins by submission. He stands 5-11 with a reach of 73 inches while fighting from the orthodox position. Trizano is coming off a win over Luis Pena, his first bout since beating Joe Giannetti to win the TUF 27 competition. Both wins were by split decision.
As the betting odds have it, this fight could go either way. Trizano is a well-rounded fighter and he’s lucky to stay unbeaten because his last two bouts couldn’t be any closer. Dawson has some entertaining grappling. He mixes submissions, strikes, and passes in a flowing offense. He is a beast if he can get on top. Both fighters can mix it up on their feet but Dawson takes this fight to the ground where he has the edge.
Prediction: Grant Dawson
Cummins is unranked in the UFC’s light heavyweight division. The 38-year old from Doylestown, Pennsylvania has a record of 10-6 with four knockouts and two wins by submission. Durkin has lost two fights in a row and is a loser in five out of his last eight bouts. He stands 6-2 with a reach of 76 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. In his last bout, Cummins was submitted by Misha Cirkunov at UFC Fight Night 138.
Cummins
-120
Herman
+180
Odds from betonline.ag as of 5/03/19
Herman is also on a skid, having lost five out of his last seven bouts including his last three. The 38-year old from Vancouver, Washington has a record of 23-14-1 with six knockouts and 13 submissions. Herman is 6-1 with a reach of 77 inches while fighting as an orthodox fighter.
Both fighters love to take their opponent down to the ground but when it comes who does the better work on the ground, it’s Herman who does well with both ground and pound & with submissions. Cummins should keep this on his feet because if it doesn’t, Herman is going to out grapple and out power Cummins.
Prediction: Ed Herman
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