UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Lewis Main Card Odds, Preview and Predictions

UFC action heads back to the APEX Facility in Las Vegas, Nevada for UFC Vegas 15 or UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Lewis on Saturday, November 28, 2020.

In the main event, Top 4 heavyweights Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis collide in a bout that could lead the winner to a future title shot. Blaydes is the no. 2 ranked heavyweight in the UFC and he’s lost just twice, both to Francis Ngannou. Razor heads to this bout after back to back wins over former UFC champion Junior Dos Santos and former Bellator champion Alexander Volkov. Lewis once challenged for the UFC title but lost to Daniel Cormier. Black Beast is currently the no. 4 heavyweight in the UFC. He has won three consecutive bouts and heads to Las Vegas off a win over Aleksei Oleinik.

Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis

Curtis Blaydes is the no. 2 ranked heavyweight in the UFC. Razor joined the UFC in 2016 and was knocked out by Francis Ngannou in his UFC debut. He won six straight bouts, one of which was overturned to a no-contest after Blaydes tested positive for marijuana. He lost to Ngannou again in 2018 but has picked up four straight wins to vault back to contention. Razor is 6-4 tall with a reach of 80 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. His record stands at 14-2 with 10 knockouts with his two losses coming at the hands of Ngannou. He is 2-0 in 2020 with wins over Junior Dos Santos and Alexander Volkov.

Derrick Lewis is the no. 4 ranked heavyweight in the UFC. Black Beast is a former Legacy FC heavyweight champion who also competed for Bellator. The 35-year old from New Orleans, Louisiana went on a 9-1 UFC run and earned a title shot at UFC 230 where he was submitted by Daniel Cormier. Lewis lost to Junior Dos Santos after that bout but he’s since won three in a row, the last being a 2nd round stoppage of Aleksei Oleinik last August. Black Beast is 24-7 with 19 knockouts and one submission win. He is 6-3 tall with a reach of 79 inches and is an orthodox fighter.

Blaydes has a one-inch advantage in height and reach over Lewis. Razor also has the better striking output, has the better stand-up defense, and better strike differential. He also has great wrestling and averages nearly seven takedowns per fight. That should come in handy against Lewis who has a 52% takedown defense. Make no mistake, Lewis needs only one punch to win a fight. Just ask Alexander Volkov. But Blaydes has that same kind of power too. We’ve seen Derrick Lewis look helpless when he’s taken down. Given Blaydes’ proficiency in that department, Razor will try to wear Lewis down before finishing him late.

Prediction: Curtis Blaydes

Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark

Anthony Smith is the no. 6 ranked light heavyweight in the UFC who formerly competed Strikeforce and Bellator. The 32-year old known as Lionheart is a former Cage Fury Fighting Championships and Victory FC middleweight champion. At UFC 235, he challenged Jon Jones for the 205-pound title and lost via unanimous decision. He’s lost two of three bouts since then and is coming off back to back losses to Glover Teixeira and Alexander Rakic. Smith is 6-4 tall with a reach of 76 inches and is an orthodox fighter. He has a record of 33-16 with 18 wins via knockout and 12 wins via submission.

Devin Clark is the former Resurrection Fighting Alliance light heavyweight champion who joined the UFC in 2016. The 30-year old from Sioux Falls, South Dakota is 4-2 in his last six UFC bouts and he heads to this contest after back-to-back wins over Dequan Townsend and Alonzo Menifield. Clark is six feet tall with a reach of 74 inches. He has an overall record of 12-4 with three knockouts and one win via submission.

Smith is taller by four inches and he also has a one-inch advantage in reach. Statistics, however, say that Clark has the edge in the striking department. However, Clark doesn’t have the experience that Smith has. Lionheart has fought the best names in the division in the biggest stages too. The concern with Smith is how badly he lost his last two bouts. That said, his losses have against top level opponents. Clark isn’t one. The experience factor may be too much for Clark and Lionheart needs a win badly here. Smith should bounce back with a hard-earned win.

Prediction: Anthony Smith

Josh Parisian vs Parker Porter

Josh Parisian appeared for TWC, KOTC, and LFA before featuring in the Contender Series where he knocked out former CES MMA champion Greg Rebello. But instead of getting a ticket to the UFC, he got an invitation to The Ultimate Fighter 28 where he lost in the first round. After stints with minor promotions, he reappeared in the Contender Series and scored another KO win to finally earn a UFC contract. Parisian is an orthodox fighter who stands 6-4 tall with a reach of 79 inches. He owns a record of 13-3 with 10 knockouts and two wins via submission.

Parker Porter fought under CZ, WCF, CES MMA, and Bellator before joining the UFC earlier this year. He lost to Chris Daukaus in his UFC debut last August. The 35-year old from Hartford, Connecticut is 9-6 with five knockouts and three wins via submission. He is 4-2 in his last six bouts with all of his wins during that period coming by stoppage. Porter is six feet tall and has a reach of 75 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance

This will mark Josh Parisian’s debut and I expect him to bring out the entire arsenal. Parisian’s road to the UFC hasn’t been an easy one and now that he’s here, he isn’t wasting any chances. He will have a four-inch advantage in height and reach over his opponent. Porter is unproven at the highest level. He lost to Chris Daukaus in his UFC debut. Parisian is younger and faster. He’s waited for this moment.

Prediction: Josh Parisian

Miguel Baeza vs Takashi Sato

Miguel Baeza appeared in Titan FC and spent most of his career at the Fight Time Promotions. The 28-year old from Davie, Florida who is known as Caramel Thunder earned his UFC contract after beating Victor Reyna in the Contender Series season 3. Baeza is 2-0 inside the UFC octagon and is coming off a huge win against veteran competitor Matt Brown. He is a 6-2 fighter who has a reach of 74 inches and fights out of the orthodox stance.

Takashi Sato has been fighting since 2013 and he has made appearances for Pancrase and Deep. The 30-year old from Tokyo, Japan once challenged for the Pancrase belt but lost to Glaico Franca. He joined the UFC last year and is 2-1 inside the Octagon. Sato is coming off a 48-second TKO win over Jason Witt last June 27th. He is a southpaw fighter who stands 5-10 tall with a reach of 73 inches.

Baeza has looked good in his two UFC appearances against Hector Aldana and Matt Brown. Sato is the more experienced fighter here but Baeza has the better striking and he appears to be the faster between the two. Sato looked impressive in beating a late replacement in Jason Witt but was submitted by Belal Muhamad when the quality of opposition improved. Between the two, it’s Baeza who has more upside. I like him to continue his climb in the rankings.

Prediction: Miguel Baeza

Spike Carlyle vs Bill Algeo

Spike Carlyle is a veteran of CCW and Gladiator Challenge. This 27-year old from San Diego, California joined the UFC earlier this year and has made two appearances inside the Octagon, going 1-1. He is coming off a loss against Billy Quarantillo and has an overall record of 9-2 with five knockouts and three wins via submission. Carlyle is a switch hitter who stands 5-8 tall and has a reach of 71 inches.

Bill Algeo fought for CFFC and Ring of Combat. He appeared in season 3 of the Contender Series but lost to Brendan Loughnane. Two fights later, he was signed by the UFC but lost to Ricardo Lamas in his UFC debut. The 31-year old known as Senor Perfecto is six feet tall with a reach of 73 inches and fights as a switch hitter. His record stands at 13-5 with three knockouts and six wins via submission.

Carlyle has one win and one loss in the UFC and in between both fights, he looks worthy of the prospect status that has been bestowed upon him. After the loss to Quarantillo, this could be the perfect opportunity for a bounce-back win. Algeo is no easy prey. He’s faced quality opposition even before he entered the UFC. He looked good against Llamas on shot notice. Imagine what he does with a full camp. This could be one of the contenders for Fight of the Night. My only concern with Carlyle is his cardio as only one of his fights has gone the distance. If he can keep his pace for three full rounds, he has the better package to beat Algeo. This could go either way really, and I won’t blame you for taking the plus money. However, I think Carlyle takes this.

Prediction: Spike Carlyle

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