UFC on ESPN 10: Prelims Undercard Betting Odds and Predictions

Before Jessica Eye and Cynthia Calvillo leads the main card on Saturday night at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas, UFC on ESPN 10 will kick-off with a five-bout undercard preliminary bouts.

Although there are no big names in the prelims undercard, the fighters in the prelude are well-matched up and I’m expecting to see fireworks even before the main show begins.

Let’s take a look at the five prelims undercard bouts for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night: Eye vs Calvillo event.

Charles Rosa vs Kevin Aguilar

Charles Rosa compiled a 9-0 record from CFA, CES MMA before joining the UFC in 2014. He has compiled an octagon record of 3-4 and has alternated losses and wins in those bouts. Rosa lost a decision to Bryce Mitchell at UFC 249 last May 9, 2020, and will be making a quick turnaround here. He has a record of 12-4 with 3 knockouts and 8 wins via submission. Boston Strong stands 5-9 tall and has a reach of 69 inches and is a switch hitter.

Kevin Aguilar is a former Legacy Fighting Alliance featherweight champion who appeared in Dana White’s Contender Series and earned a UFC deal. After winning his first two octagon assignments, Aguilar has suffered back to back losses to Dan Ige and Zubaira Tukhugov. His record stands at 17-3 with 10 knockouts and one win via submission. Aguilar is an orthodox fighter who stands 5-7 tall with a reach of 73 inches.

Aguilar is the much sharper and heavy-handed fighter here. Rosa will have all sorts of trouble keeping Aguilar on the mat and keeping him down because the “Angel of Death” has a takedown defense of 84%. But after Aguilar got rocked by Ige and Tukhugov, I won’t be surprised if Rosa will land one big punch that puts Aguilar to sleep. However, Rosa hasn’t recorded a knockout in six years and that allows me to put my bet on Aguilar’s striking. He has the edge in technical skills and is four inches longer.

Prediction: Kevin Aguilar (-190)

Julia Avila vs Gina Mazany

Julia Avila is a veteran who has competed for Invicta FC, HD MMA, XKO MMA, Total Warrior Combat, and King of the Cage. The former HD MMA women’s bantamweight champion won her Octagon debut against former TUF competitor Pannie Kianzad. She is 7-1 with three knockouts and one win via submission. In her only loss, Avila suffered a hand injury against Marciea Allen. She stands 5-7 tall with a reach of 68 inches and is an orthodox fighter.

Gina Mazany is the former Alaska Fight Championship women’s bantamweight champion who also competed for the King of the Cage. She competed at TUF 18 where she lost to Julianna Pena in the preliminary round. Mazany went 1-3 in her first four UFC bouts and fought at KOTC: Golden Fights where she knocked out Valerie Barney. She has a record of 6-3 with three knockouts and one win via submission. Mazany stands 5-6 tall with a reach of 68 inches and is a southpaw fighter.

Give props to Mazany for taking a fight against an up-and-coming contender on short notice. But after watching her struggles in her first four UFC bouts, I think that she is in trouble here. The only way for Mazany to beat Avila is to get in top position and pound her. However, I don’t think that she has the tools to do so. Avila’s defensive wrestling is enough to keep this fight on the feet where she will most probably record a stoppage victory over Mazany.

Prediction: Julia Avila (-600)

Tyson Nam vs Zarrukh Adashev

Tyson Nam is the 15th ranked flyweight in the UFC. The 36-year old from Waimanalo, Hawaii is a former Destiny MMA flyweight champion and former X1 World Events flyweight champion who also fought for WSOF, Elite XC, and King of the Cage. Nam is looking for his first UFC win after dropping his first two octagon assignments. He stands 5-7 tall with a reach of 68 inches and is an orthodox fighter. His record is 18-11 with 10 knockouts and one win via submission.

Zarrukh Adashev is a former hand to hand combat world champion and kickboxer. The 27-year-old from Uzbekistan fought for ROC and Bellator before heading to the UFC. He is 3-1 with two knockouts and is 5-7 tall with an undisclosed reach. Adashev took this fight on four days notice after Ryan Benoit was pulled from the event due to an unknown reason. In his last fight, Adashev scored a second-round TKO of Tevin Dyce at Bellator 232 last year.

Nam has yet to win inside the octagon and this could be a do-or-die fight for him. He was supposed to fight an opponent in Benoit who was tailor-made for his counter-punching. Now, he gets a new foe in Adashev who doesn’t have enough MMA experience but has fought as a kickboxer. I know it’s tough to change strategies in four days and that’s Nam’s dilemma right now. However, it’s tougher to accept about on four days notice and make your UFC debut at the same time. Nam has too much going for him here.

Prediction: Tyson Nam (-125)

Jordan Griffin vs Darrick Minner

Jordan Griffin fought for KOTC and LFA before joining Dana White’s Contender Series in 2018 where he clubbed Maurice Mitchell to earn a UFC contract. Mitchell dropped his first two octagon assignments to Dan Ige and Chas Kelly. However, he bounced back with a submission win over T.J. Brown in his last assignment. Griffin is 18-7 with five knockouts and 8 wins via submission. Griffin is a southpaw who stands 5-10 tall and has a reach of 73 inches.

Darrick Minner is a veteran who fought for DCS and RFA before joining Dana White’s Contender Series in August 2019 where he was submitted by Gilbert Burns. Since then, Minner picked up two wins outside the UFC before making his octagon debut at UFC Fight Night 169 where he lost via submission to Grant Dawson. Minner has a record of 24-11 with 21 wins via submission and one victory via knockout. He stands 5-7 tall with a reach of 69 inches and is an orthodox fighter.

This is the second fight between these two as they fought in 2018 under the LFA promotion. In that fight, Minner did some terrific groundwork until Griffin caught him with an armbar. Two years later, I don’t see the rematch going differently. Minner will try to force a submission while Griffin will try to use his submission defense to counter his opponent. On the feet, Griffin has the significant edge. This one should end the same way because Minner tries to force submission moves too much. If he doesn’t get submitted again, Griffin is going to dominate him on the feet. Either way, this is a win for Griffin.

Prediction: Jordan Griffin (-170)

Anthony Ivy vs Christian Aguilera

Anthony Ivy is the former Fury FC welterweight champion who also won a welterweight title at WXC. He was supposed to fight Gerald Meeschaert last weekend but after Ian Heinisch’s cornerman was cleared of COVID-19, Ivy’s UFC debut was rebooked to Saturday’s event. Ivy is an orthodox fighter who stands 6-2 tall with a reach of 74 inches. His record is 8-2 with five knockouts and three wins via submission.

Christian Aguilera had a three-fight winning streak that earned him a couple of main event bouts at LFA, both of which he lost. Aguilera fought at Celtic Gladiator and beat Krzysztof Kulak then returned to LFA to decision Glaucio Elizario. Like his opponent, Aguilera will be making his first UFC bout. The Beast is 13-6 with 10 knockouts. He is 5-9 tall and has a reach of 73 inches and is a switch hitter.

Ivy has a significant edge in wrestling here. If he can keep himself in the top position on the ground, he will easily win this fight. Aguilera doesn’t offer much resistance when he is on his back and if Ivy gets on top, I won’t be surprised if he wins this via ground and pound. However, if he falls in love with going for armbars, Aguilera can escape and out-strike him on the feet. Aguilera does have the knockout power but Ivy is relentless with his takedowns and has an excellent gas tank. For as long as Ivy sticks to his strengths, I’m picking him to win this fight.

Prediction: Anthony Ivy (-190)

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