The Golden State Warriors hit the road and take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday, November 19, 2019, at the FedEx Forum.
The Warriors have struggled with injuries this season. They have lost seven consecutive games and for this game, they will be without Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, D’Angelo Russell, Kevon Looney, Jacobs Evans, and Damion Lee. The Grizzlies have no significant injuries reported and they have won three out of their last four games heading to this Tuesday encounter.
The Golden State Warriors find themselves at the bottom of the Pacific Division standings right now. The Dubs are 2-12 SU on the season and head to this game with a seven-game losing streak. Already without Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, the Warriors will be without D’Angelo Russell for the next two weeks with a sprained thumb.
Russell and Curry are Golden State’s top scorers this season. Eric Paschall is averaging 16.7 points and 4.8 rebounds on the season while Alec Burks, Glen Robinson III, and Damion Lee are the other double-digit scorers for the depleted Warriors. Draymond Green is contributing 8.8 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.8 assists on the season.
Golden State ranks 18th in the NBA in scoring at 10.8 points per game this season. The Dubs are 21st in rebounding at 44.3 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 15th in passing at 23.9 assists per game. The Warriors are the third-worst defensive scoring team in the league at 119.0 points per game allowed.
The Memphis Grizzlies saw their three-game winning streak come to an end against the Denver Nuggets on Sunday night. After starting the season with a 2-7 SU record, the Grizzlies won three in a row against the Spurs, Hornets, and Jazz before coming up short against the Nuggets.
Rookie guard Ja Morant came up big against the Hornets and Jazz with 23 and 25 points, respectively. The 2nd overall pick of the 2019 NBA Draft is averaging 18.4 points and 6.0 assists per game this season. Sophomore big man Jaren Jackson is contributing 14.5 points and 5.3 rebounds per game for the Grizzlies while Jonas Valanciunas is scoring 12.8 points and grabbing a team-high 9.4 assists per game.
Memphis is ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 110.1 points per game this season. The Grizzlies are the 3rd best passing team in the NBA at 26.9 assists per game and they are 16th off the boards with 45.8 rebounds per game. Memphis is allowing the 5th most points per game this season at 118.8 points per game.
Golden State is 0-7 SU in their last seven games played and the Warriors are 0-5 SU in their last five games played on the road. Memphis is 3-1 SU in their last four games played. The Grizzlies are 3-5 SU in their last 8 games played at home and 5-14 SU in their last 19 Tuesday games. Head to head, the Warriors are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Grizzlies.
Golden State’s last loss to New Orleans was indicative of the team’s talent level. The Pelicans played without six players yet the Dubs trailed the entire 48 minutes. Rookie Eric Paschall was a bright spot again in the loss but the rest of the team struggled, as usual. It looks like a lost season for the injury-riddled Warriors.
Memphis is in rebuilding mode but they have come together in the last couple of weeks with three straight wins. However, that streak ended in their last game when they were blown out by the Denver Nuggets. Golden State is no Denver this season and the Grizzlies are no longer pushovers. Memphis is the NBA betting favorite to beat Golden State here.
Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Jonas Valanciunas are three players who will give Golden State problems. The Grizzlies are at home here and they are certainly hungry to get back on the winning side. I think Memphis is going to beat Golden State in a fast-paced game decided by offense and talent level.
Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies
The Warriors are 2-12 SU in 14 games played this season. Golden State is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games played on the road. The Grizzlies are 5-8 ATS in their 13 games played this season. Memphis is 2-4 ATS in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Warriors are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Grizzlies. However, Memphis is 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against the Warriors.
Warriors
+6.5 (-110)
Grizzlies
-6.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/18/19
The Warriors have outscored the Grizzlies by an average of 6.7 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 5.67 points per game in their most recent three encounters. These are two struggling teams this season but the Warriors are in worse shape right now. Not only are the Warriors injury-riddled, but Steve Kerr’s squad also lacks the talent to win games. Memphis in no elite but when you look at their line-up, they have the likes of Ja Morant, Jonas Valanciunas, and Jaren Jackson Jr. who can help them cover the spread against the woeful Warriors.
Prediction: Grizzlies -6.5
The total has gone over in eight out of the 14 games played by the Warriors. The over is 4-3 in the seven road games played by Golden State. The Warriors have seen the total go over in six out of their last eight games against the Western Conference and the over is also 4-1 in their last five games against the Southwest Division. The over is 3-2 in the last five games played by Memphis and the over is 3-1 in the last four home games played by the Grizzlies.
Over
222 (-110)
Under
222 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/18/19
These teams have combined to score 222.9 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 214.33 points per game in their most recent three encounters. The Warriors and Grizzlies are in the bottom half of the league in scoring. However, they are in the bottom five in scoring defense, allowing a combined 237.8 points per game this season. Neither team has shown the ability to thrive in a half-court set so I expect them to play a fast-paced game which should result in the total going over.
Prediction: Over 222
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