The Golden State Warriors hit the road on December 2nd and travel to Georgia for a showdown with the Atlanta Hawks at the State Farm Arena.
The Warriors and Hawks head to this showdown toting 4-16 SU records on the season. The Warriors have won just twice in their last 10 games played while the Hawks have lost 10 in a row heading to this contest. Golden State is coming off a 17-point drubbing at the hands of the Miami Heat while the Hawks head home fresh off their worst defensive game of the year where they gave up 158 points against the Rockets in an ugly 47-point loss.
The Golden State Warriors are off to a horrendous start. The Dubs lost Kevin Durant to free agency and Klay Thompson to injury even before the season started. When the season began, they also lost Stephen Curry to injury and this has been the worst start to Steve Kerr’s coaching career in Oakland.
The Dubs travel to Atlanta toting a 5-17 SU record, worse than the Hawks but they face an Atlanta team that has lost 10 in a row. The Warriors have beaten the Hawks in each of their last nine meetings and have defeated Atlanta in 15 out of their last 16 head to head encounters. Golden State will be looking to extend that dominance on Monday night.
The Warriors are scoring 107.3 points per game this season, 21st in the league. Golden State is 23rd in rebounding at 43.4 boards grabbed per contest and 13th in assists at 24.6 dimes per contest. The Dubs are giving up 116.4 points per game this season, 5th most in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks are 4-16 SU to start the season and they head home on Monday night with 10 straight losses on their record. The Hawks have been inconsistent all season long. They lost by single digits to Milwaukee and Indiana but then were blown out by the Houston Rockets 111-158 in their last outing.
Trae Young had another big night against the Rockets as he scored 37 points for the Hawks. That was Young’s 10th 30-point game of the season and he is having a fantastic sophomore season. His effort was neutralized after Atlanta’s defense allowed James Harden to score 60 points in 31 minutes.
The Hawks are ranked 19th in the league at 107.8 points per game this season. They are 26th off the glass with an average of 42.3 boards grabbed per contest and they are 21st in passing at 23.4 dimes per outing. Atlanta has the third-worst scoring defense in the league at 119.1 points per game allowed.
The Dubs are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games played. Golden State is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played. The Hawks are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games played. Atlanta is 0-5 SU in their last five games played. Head to head, the Warriors have won the last nine meetings between these two teams.
The Hawks are on their longest losing streak of the season as they have lost 10 in a row. They are coming off their worst defensive effort of the year, giving up a ridiculous 158 points against the Houston Rockets. The Warriors aren’t near the Rockets this season but if the Hawks play that kind of defense, Golden State is going to put points on the board.
The Warriors have won just once in their last five games played and lost by 17 points to the Miami Heat in their last outing. The Dubs have been held to below 106 points in each of their last three games played and four out of their last six losses have been by single digits.
Both these teams only have four wins each this season and are groping to find their winning forms. The Dubs were blown out by the Heat in their last game but their previous two losses to the Thunder and Jazz were by an aggregate of seven points. Golden State is the NBA betting underdog here but they have won nine out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. I like my chances with the underdogs here.
Prediction: Golden State Warriors
The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Golden State is 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games played on the road. The Hawks are 9-11 ATS in 20 games played this season and 5-4 ATS in nine home games played this year. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Pacific Division and 5-2 ATS in their last seven December games. Head to head, the Warriors are 2-1 ATS in their last three meetings against the Hawks.
Warriors
+6.5 (-107)
Hawks
-6.5 (-113)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/02/19
These teams have played poor defense this season but the Warriors’ numbers are a little better. Offensively, both these teams are also having problems but when you look at their schedule, the Warriors have played better against Western Conference competition. Golden State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a losing SU record. I’ll take the plus points and the underdogs here.
Prediction: Warriors +6.5
The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Warriors. The under is 4-1 in the Dubs’ last five games against the Eastern Conference and the under is 4-1 in their last five games against the Southeast Division. The total has gone over in 11 out of the last 13 games played by the Hawks. The over is also 8-0 in Atlanta’s last eight games against the Western Conference. Head to head, over is 3-2 in the last five games between these teams in Atlanta.
Over
223 (-110)
Under
223 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/02/19
These teams combined for 239 points in their last meeting in December 2018 and they are two of the worst defensive teams in the league right now and although neither is also a powerhouse on offense, their inability to defend each other should lead to plenty of points scored in this game. The over is 7-3 in the Warriors’ last 10 games on the road and the over is also 11-2 in the Hawks’ last 13 games overall. I don’t expect to see defense in this game.
Prediction: Over 223
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