The Golden State Warriors hit the road and take on the Sacramento Kings at the Golden 1 Center on Monday night.
The Warriors head to Sacramento with a four-game losing streak which came right after they had won a season-best four consecutive games. Golden State lost at home to the Detroit Pistons on Saturday night to fall to 9-28 SU on the season. Meanwhile, the Kings play again at home after losing to the New Orleans Pelicans art the Golden 1 Center on Saturday night. The Kings are 13-23 SU on the season and they are next to last in the Pacific Division with only the Warriors trailing them in the divisional standings.
Four Straight Losses
Just when the Golden State Warriors got a little something going, things have gone south once again. The Warriors had won four straight games during their last five-game homestand but the Dubs have dropped four in a row including two on the road. They will look to snap their skid on the road where they only have three wins in 19 away games.
D’Angelo Russell leads Golden State in scoring at 23.2 points per game but he’s played just 22 games this season and missed Saturday’s loss to Detroit with an injury. Alec Burks is scoring 15.6 points per game this season while Eric Paschall is adding 14.2 points per game. Draymond Green is putting up 9.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 1.5 steals per game this year.
Golden State ranks 26th in scoring at 105.3 points per game this season. The Dubs are 22nd in rebounding at 43.8 boards grabbed per contest and they are 14th in passing at 24.1 assists per game. The Warriors are giving up an average of 113.0 points per game this season, 11th most in the league.
Another Close Loss
The Sacramento Kings lost to the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday night, doing so by a solitary basket. The Pelicans won the game on a last-second shot by J.J. Redick and the Kings lost another close game. Four out of the Kings’ last five losses have been by five points or fewer and by a total of 10 points. The Kings look to get back on track when they face the equally struggling Warriors.
Buddy Hield leads the Kings in scoring at 20.4 points per game this season. Richaun Holmes leads the team in rebounding at 8.5 boards per contest while also scoring 13.3 points per game. De’Aaron Fox is putting up 16.7 points and 6.9 assists per game. Nemanja Bejilca is contributing 11.5 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for Sacramento.
The Kings are 25th in the NBA in scoring at 105.6 points per game scored this season. Sacramento is 29th in rebounding at 42.1 boards hauled per outing and they are 23rd in passing at 22.5 assists per contest. The Kings are allowing opponents to score an average of 108.8 points per game, 17th most in the league this season.
Who Wins?
The Warriors are 1-3 SU in their last four games played. The Dubs are 0-3 SU in their last three games played on the road. The Kings are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played. Sacramento is 1-4 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Warriors are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Kings but Sacramento has won the last three meetings between these two teams.
The Warriors lost their fourth straight game on Saturday night against the Detroit Pistons at the Chase Center. Draymond Green was ejected in the third quarter of the game and it was Alec Burks who led the team with 27 points as D’Angelo Russell sat out the game due to an injury.
Sacramento lost a close game to the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday night. J.J. Redick hit a layup with one second left to give New Orleans a two-point win. The Kings were coming off a win over the Grizzlies in a victory that snapped an eight-game losing skid for them.
D’Angelo Russell is expected to return on Monday but I’m not sure if he’s going to be in good shape after missing Saturday’s contest with a shoulder injury. Sacramento could be without Marvin Bagley but the Kings are a decent 7-9 SU at home and the Warriors have won just thrice on the road this season.
Prediction: Sacramento Kings
Other Bets to Make
Golden State is 5-3 ATS in their last eight games played. The Dubs are 9-10 ATS in 19 road games played this season. Sacramento is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Kings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Warriors.
Warriors
+10.5 (-110)
Kings
-10.5 (-110)
Odds from SportsBetting as of 01/06/20
Sacramento continues to struggle but they continue to be competitive. Four out of the Kings’ last five losses have come by five points or fewer. Golden State has lost its last four games on the road and four straight games overall as well. The Kings have covered well against the Warriors in recent games but 12.5 seems too much when you have two equally struggling squads. I’ll take the Dubs here but if the line moves to below 10 points, go for the Kings.
Prediction: Warriors +10.5
The total has gone over in five out of the last eight games played by Golden State. The over is also 10-9 in Golden State’s 19 road games played this season. The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Kings. Sacramento has seen the total go under in 10 out of their last 16 games played at home. Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five games between the Warriors and Kings.
Over
214 (-113)
Under
214 (-107)
Odds from SportsBetting as of 01/06/20
The trends point to the over but remember that these two teams are in the bottom 6 in the league in scoring this season. The Warriors are in the lower half when it comes to scoring defense but the Warriors have allowed 104 or fewer points in four out of their last six games played. Both teams haven’t played standout defense this season but neither has shown offensive explosion as well. I like these teams to hit the under in this game.
Prediction: Under 214