The Los Angeles Lakers host the Golden State Warriors at the Staples Center on Wednesday, November 13, 2019, in a Pacific Division showdown.
Injury Stricken
It was only a couple of seasons ago when the Golden State Warriors were nearly invincible as the NBA’s two-time defending champions. Then the injuries started to pile up. First, it was Kevin Durant. He was followed by Klay Thompson. Then Stephen Curry joined them on the injured list and the Warriors are embattled with their 2-9 SU record, worst in the NBA.
The Warriors’ frustrations were on display in their last game against the Utah Jazz. Draymond Green because the first player to be ejected at the Chase Center collecting back to back technical fouls while arguing a call. Steve Kerr was also called for a technical foul after arguing a kicked-ball call on Jordan Poole.
The Warriors are 14th in the league in scoring at 112.1 points per game this season. Golden State is 20th off the glass with an average of 44.5 boards grabbed per contest. They are also 11th in the passing department with an average of 24.3 assists per game. The Dubs allow the third-most points in the league at 121.1 per game.
Best Start
The Los Angeles Lakers are off to their best start since 2010. The Purple and Gold are currently on top of the Pacific Division with their 8-2 SU record. The Lakers saw their seven-game winning streak end against Toronto on Sunday but they bounced back with a 123-115 road win over the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday.
LeBron James and Anthony Davis have led the way for the Lakers. Davis leads the Lakers with 26.6 points and 10.2 rebounds per game while James is scoring 24.6 points and a team-high 11.2 assists per game. The Lakers got back Rajon Rondo who had five points, six rebounds and seven assists in his debut against the Suns.
The Lakers have the third-best scoring defense in the league at 100.1 points per game allowed. Los Angeles ranks 20th in scoring at 108.4 points per game, 12th in rebounding at 46.6 boards grabbed per contest and 7th in passing at 25.1 dimes issued per outing.
Who Wins?
The Warriors are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played and 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played at home. The Lakers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played and Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Warriors are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Lakers and have won the last three. However, Golden State is the NBA betting underdog in this contest.
This isn’t the start that Steve Kerr envisioned, not even without KD and Klay to start the year. Steph Curry’s hand injury has been a game-changer and the Warriors might miss the playoffs this year. Despite that, don’t say that this team is just going to lay down and die because they have a win over Portland this season.
Los Angeles got back on track after their seven-game winning streak was halted by Toronto. The Lakers got some challenges but eventually put away the stubborn Phoenix Suns who have beaten good teams this season. The Suns beat the Dubs by double digits earlier this season and I don’t think Golden State has gotten better since that game. Meanwhile, the Lakers are now complete with both Kuzma and Rajon Rondo back.
Prediction: Lakers -450
Other Bets to Make
Golden State is 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games played and the Warriors are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 road games Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the Lakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
Warriors
+10 (-110)
Lakers
-10 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/13/19
The Warriors have outscored the Lakers by an average of 8.8 points per game and by 17 points per game in their last three encounters. This isn’t the Golden State team that played the Lakers in the last 10 or 3 games. This group doesn’t have Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, and Klay Thompson. Meanwhile, the Lakers are off to their best start in a decade and Kyle Kuzma is coming off his best scoring game of the season. I think the Lakers have too much firepower and muscle here. This should be a clear double-digit win for them.
Prediction: Lakers -10
The total has gone under in six out of their last 10 games played. The under is 4-2 in Los Angeles’ last six games played at home. The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Warriors. The over is 7-3 in Golden State’s last 10 home games played. Head to head, the total has gone under in six out of their last 10 meetings.
Over
223 (-110)
Under
223 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/13/19
These teams have combined to score 220.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 218.33 points per game in their last three head to head games played. The Warriors have allowed their opponents to shoot 48.8% from the floor and with Kyle Kuzma starting to find his shooting touch, I expect the Lakers to have a big scoring game here. Los Angeles has the third-best scoring defense in the league but the Warriors are scoring 111.4 points per game this season. The over is 24-8 in Los Angeles’ last 33 games against opponents with a losing record.
Prediction: Over 223