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Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs 12/31/19 NBA Betting Odds and Pick

The Golden State Warriors visit the AT&T Center for a showdown with the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday, December 31st.

The Warriors’ five-game homestand ended on a sour note after the Dallas Mavericks snapped the Dubs’ four-game winning streak. The Dubs left the Chase Center with a 4-1 record during that stretch but will be in for a tough assignment against a San Antonio team that has won six out of its last 10 games played. The Spurs are coming off aa 27-point win over the Detroit Pistons, two games after defeating the Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points. The Spurs have won three out of their last four home games.

Four-Game Win Streak is Over

The Golden State Warriors saw their four-game home winning streak end against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Doncic put up a triple-double and didn’t have to play the fourth quarter in a blowout win over the Dubs at the Chase Center. The Warriors fell back to 9-25 on the season, worst in the Western Conference.

D’Angelo Russell scored 35 points and issued six assists for the Warriors but the Mavs were simply too good for them on Saturday night. Damion Lee scored 18 points and grabbed 12 rebounds while Marquiss Chriss and Alec Burks each scored 16 points in a losing effort.

The Warriors are 25th in the league in scoring at 105.7 points per game. They are ranked 23rd in rebounding at 43.8 boards grabbed per contest and are 15th in passing at 24.0 assists per game. The Dubs are giving up an average of 113.3 points per game this season, 10th most in the NBA this year.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Warriors

+500

Spurs

-700

Odds from SportsBetting as of 12/31/19

Spurs Put up 136 Against Pistons

The San Antonio Spurs are coming off a 27-point win over the Detroit Pistons on Saturday night. San Antonio knocked down a season-high 18 three-pointers against the Pistons while putting up 136 points, two games after lighting up the Memphis Grizzlies for 141 points. The Spurs have won six out of their last 10 games to move to within five games of the .500 mark at 13-18 on the season.

LaMarcus Aldridge led the Spurs with 25 points and 12 rebounds while making five three-point baskets against Detroit. DeMar DeRozan scored 29 points in his best game in five weeks. Patty Mills killed the Warriors in their first meeting of the season, scoring 31 points including six three-point baskets.

The Spurs rank 7th in the league in scoring at 113.3 points per game this season. They are also 7th in rebounding at 46.3 boards grabbed per contest and are 14th in passing at 24.6 assists per game. San Antonio is allowing the 7th most points per game this season at 115.0 points per game.

Who Wins?

Golden State is 4-1 SU in their last five games played. The Warriors are 1-8 SU in their last nine games played on the road. San Antonio is 3-2 SU in their last five games played. The Spurs are 9-8 SU in 17 home games played this season, and 2-4 SU in their last six Tuesday games. Head to head, the Spurs are 3-1 SU in their last four games played against the Warriors.

Golden State’s four-game winning streak ended at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks last Saturday. D’Angelo Russell had a big game with 35 points but Golden State allowed a franchise-record 24 three-point baskets made by the Mavericks and let Dallas shoot 52.5% from the floor.

The Spurs knocked down a season-best 18 three-pointers during their 27-point win over the Detroit Pistons last December 28th. LaMarcus Aldridge drained five triples and scored a total of 25 points to lead the San Antonio attack. Aldridge is 9-13 from behind the arc in his last three games played.

The Warriors’ inability to defend the three-ball should give the Spurs an edge here. San Antonio is shooting hot from downtown lately, especially Aldridge and I expect them to exploit that Golden State Weakness on Tuesday night. Look for the Spurs to come out with guns blazing in their 2019 finale.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs

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Other Bets to Make

The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Golden State is 8-9 ATS in their last 17 games played on the road, 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference, and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against the Southwest Division. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. San Antonio is 5-12 ATS in 17 home games played this season, and 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games played against the Pacific Division. Head to head, the Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played against the Warriors.

What are the Spread Odds?

Warriors

+11 (-110)

Spurs

-11 (-110)

Odds from SportsBetting as of 12/31/19

The Spurs beat the Warriors by 17 points in their first meeting of the season last November 1, 2019. However, this Golden State team has played better in the latter part of this month and are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The Spurs blew out Memphis by 30 points and Detroit by 27 last week and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. I like the Spurs to win this game and cover the spread at home.

Prediction: Spurs -11

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The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by Golden State. The over is 9-8 in the Warriors’ 17 road games played this season. The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the Spurs. San Antonio has seen the total go over in five out of their last six games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by the Warriors and Spurs. The under is also 5-1 in the last six games between these two teams in San Antonio.

What are the Total Odds?

Over

218 (-110)

Under

218 (-110)

Odds from SportsBetting as of 12/31/19

These teams have combined to score an average of 206.8 points per game in their last 10 meetings. The Warriors didn’t allow more than 104 points per game during their recent four-game winning streak but of course, Dallas torched them for 141 points in their last outing. The Spurs put up 145 points on December 23 and then 136 points on December 28th, winning both games. Golden State has the 10th worst scoring defense in the league this season. I think the Spurs are going to score more than enough points to push the total to the over.

Prediction: Over 218

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Chris Blain

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