The Washington Wizards hit the road and travel to Mile High to take on the Denver Nuggets on November 26, 2019, at the Pepsi Center.
Washington has struggled to 5-9 start and they are just 3-5 SU in their last eight games. The Nuggets have been on fire as of late as they have won nine out of their last 10 games including their last five. Denver is looking for their 8th straight win at home in this game while the Wizards will be aiming for their third road win of the season in eight tries.
Struggling Without Wall
The Washington Wizards have struggled to start the season without the injured John Wall. Washington is just 5-9 SU after 14 games and they are in 3rd place in the Southeast division. The Wizards have won just thrice in their last eight games played but they are 2-1 SU in their last three games.
Bradley Beal leads Washington with 29.8 points and 7.1 assists per game while Thomas Bryant is their top rebounder at 8.8 boards per contest while also scoring 14.6 points per outing. David Bertans and rookie Rui Hachimura are scoring in double figures while Isaiah Thomas is putting up 12.5 points and 5.6 assists per game.
Washington is the second highest-scoring team in the league at 119.1 points per game this season and they are the #1 passing team in the NBA at 28.8 assists per game. They have the second-worst scoring defense in the league at 120.3 points per game allowed and the Wizards are 24th in rebounding at 42.8 boards grabbed per contest.
Surging Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets are surging and they are on top of the Northwest Division team standings. The Nuggets head to this contest having won nine out of their last 10 games, including the last five. Denver has won seven straight at home and will be looking to add the Wizards to their list of home conquests.
Jamal Murray leads Denver with 18.9 points and 1.5 steals per game. Nikola Jokic is having another all-around season with 16.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game while Will Barton, Torrey Craig and Gary Harris are also scoring in double digits for the Nuggets who are the NBA betting favorites in this game.
The Nuggets have the best scoring defense in the league at 101.7 points per game allowed. Denver is ranked 24th in scoring at 106.7 points per game and they are also 7th in rebounding at 46.9 boards hauled per contest. Denver is also the 7th best passing team overall at 25.7 dimes per outing.
Who Wins?
Washington is 5-13 SU in their last 18 games played. The Wizards are 2-5 SU in seven road games played this season. Denver is 5-0 SU in their last five games played. The Nuggets are 6-1 SU in their last seven games played at home. Head to head, the Wizards are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Nuggets. Washington is also 4-1 SU in their last five games against Denver.
Washington is still trying to find a rhythm this season. The Wizards have not won more than two games this season and will be looking for back to back wins here. Bradley Beal is putting up his best numbers ever but he has a relatively young and inexperienced supporting cast.
The Nuggets are on a roll right now and they have lost just once in their last 10 games. Denver is boasting of a balanced attack behind Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic and they are also playing terrific defense to start the year. Look for the Nuggets to stop Bradley Beat from going off in this game.
The Wizards have excellent young players who are starting to jell with Beal. But this Denver team is almost the same team which went deep in last season’s playoffs. Murray and Jokic have the poise to carry this team and the rest of the Nuggets are feeding off their stars. I expect Denver to come up with a big win at home.
Prediction: Denver Nuggets
Other Bets to Make
The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Washington is 5-1-1 ATS in seven road games played this season, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games against the Western Conference, and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Northwest Division. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Denver is 4-5 ATS in nine home games played this season, 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in November, and 4-2 ATS in their last six Tuesday games. Head to head, the Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played against the Nuggets.
Wizards
+9.5 (-110)
Nuggets
-9.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/25/19
The Nuggets have been on a tear as of late, winning nine out of their last 10 games played. Three out of their last four wins have been by double digits and Denver is clicking on both cylinders right now. The Wizards’ last three losses have been by single digits but their inability to defend opponents isn’t going to help them against the #1 defensive team in the league.
Prediction: Nuggets -9.5
The total has gone over in five out of the last six games played by the Wizards. Washington has seen the total go over in four out of their last five road games. The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Nuggets. The under is 6-3 in Denver’s nine home games played this season and the under is 7-1 in their last eight games against the Eastern Conference. Head to head, the under is 6-4 in the last 10 games between the Wizards and Nuggets.
Over
227.5 (-110)
Under
227.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/25/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 212. 6 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 204.67 points per game in their most recent three encounters. I think this will easily be a high-scoring game with Washington 2nd in scoring and worst in defense. The Nuggets like to play a defensive game but they are coming off a 116 point scoring night in Phoenix so they can put up points on the board as well.
Prediction: Over 227.5