New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners 08/08/2022 MLB Odds and Prediction

The New York Yankees head to T-Mobile Park to start a series against the Seattle Mariners.

New York got swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in their previous series and was beaten 2-1 by these same Mariners one series back in New York. The wheels are falling off the Yankees right now but despite struggling in the last seven weeks, they still have the best record in the AL after Sunday’s games.

The Mariners are 11 games behind the Houston Astros in the AL West division standings but are tied with the Tampa Bay Rays for the second wild card spot in the American League. Seattle forced a tie with the L.A. Angels 2-2 in their last series and defeated the Yankees 2-1 in the series before that.

New York Yankees

The Yankees got swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in their previous series 3-0. New York got outslugged 12-9 by the Cardinals in a high-scoring affair on Sunday. The Yankees are just 4-6 in their last 10 games played and have dropped five in a row heading to this series.

Jason Taillon will make his 22nd start for the Yankees this season. Taillon is 10-2 with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.161 with 21 walks and 98 strikeouts in a total of 113.2 innings of work. He did not factor into the decision in his last start, which was against the Mariners last Tuesday. In that game, Taillon pitched 4.2 innings and allowed six runs, including five earned, on two hits with four walks and six strikeouts in a game which the Yankees ended up losing.

Taillon is 2-0 with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 0.962 with five walks and 21 strikeouts in a total of 17.2 innings over three games pitched against the Mariners. At T-Mobile Park, he has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.846 with one walk and 15 strikeouts over 13 innings in two career starts in Seattle.

Seattle Mariners

Seattle heads to this series trailing the Houston Astros by 11 games in the divisional standings. However, the Mariners are tied for the second wild-card spot in the American League and are 5-5 in their last 10 games played. Seattle is tied with the Tampa Bay Rays for the 4th best record in the recent AL standings.

Logan Gilbert will start on top of the hill for Seattle. Gilbert is 10-4 with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.184 with 36 walks and 120 strikeouts in 128.1 innings of work this season. He did not factor in the decision in his most recent outing against the Yankees last week, throwing 5.1 innings while allowing six runs on seven hits with four walks and two strikeouts in an 8-6 win by Seattle.

This will be Gilbert’s third start against the Yankees and he is 1-0 with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 0.973 with four walks and 10 strikeouts in a total of 12.1 innings pitched. At home, Gilbert has posted a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.136 with 19 walks and 122 strikeouts over 118 innings pitched in 22 career starts at T-Mobile Park.

Yankees vs Mariners Betting Prediction

The Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 games played against the Mariners. New York is also 35-16 in their last 51 games played in Seattle.

The Yankees are:

• 0-5 in their last 5 games played overall.

• 0-5 in their last 5 road games.

• 1-5 in their last 6 versus the American League West division.

• 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss.

• 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass.

• 0-5 in their last 5 versus a team with a winning record.

• 0-9 in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning record.

• 0-5 in their last 5 games versus a right-handed starter.

• 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a right-handed starter.

• 0-5 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• 0-5 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 0-7 in their last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games.

• 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 7-2 in their last 9 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• 38-15 in their last 53 Game 1s of a series.

• 35-16 in their last 51 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 26-12 in their last 38 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 56-27 in their last 83 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The Mariners are:

• 30-12 in their last 42 games played overall.

• 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

• 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a right-handed starter.

• 8-1 in their last 9 against the American League East Division.

• 11-3 in their last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 22-7 in their last 29 games following a win.

• 22-7 in their last 29 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• 20-7 in their last 27 games versus a right-handed starter.

• 5-2 in their last 7 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 30-12 in their last 42 games on grass.

• 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

• 25-10 in their last 35 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 5-2 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 5-2 in their last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 12-5 in their last 17 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• 9-4 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 3-7 in their last 10 games opposite a team with a winning percentage above .600.

• 1-4 in their last 5 Game 1s of a series.

• 2-8 in their last 10 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Yankees

-130

Mariners

+110

Odds from BetOnline as of 08/08/2022

Taillon has gone 1-1 in their last six starts with an ERA of 5.76 with 10 walks and 29 strikeouts while allowing 8 home runs in a total of 29.2 innings pitched. Since the break, he is 0-0 with an ERA of 4.73 in three starts.

Gilbert has had issues since last month as well. In six starts, he’s posted an ERA of 4.66 in a total of 33.2 innings pitched during that span. Since the All-Star break, Gilbert is 0-1 with an ERA of 5.19.

There is no question that Seattle has the momentum heading to this series. But it’s also clear that they have the more inconsistent offense. New York ranks 2nd in baseball with a bullpen ERA of 2.90. The Yankees are struggling right now but have historically played well in Seattle. Give me the Yankees to snap out from their losing streak with a win in Seattle.

Prediction: New York Yankees.

Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under Prediction

The under is 41-18-4 in the last 63 meetings between these two teams. The total has gone under in 35 out of their last 53 games played in Seattle.

New York Yankees over/under trends:

• Over is 20-7-1 in the Yankees’ last 28 games played overall.

• Over is 3-0-1 in the Yankees’ last 4 versus the American League West division.

• Over is 14-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Over is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 games against a right-handed starter.

• Over is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Over is 5-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Over is 12-4-1 in the Yankees’ last 17 games versus. a team with a winning record.

• Over is 6-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Over is 20-7-1 in the Yankees’ last 28 games played on grass.

• Over is 25-9 in the Yankees’ last 34 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Over is 11-4-1 in the Yankees’ last 16 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Over is 18-7-2 in the Yankees’ last 27 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• Over is 10-4 in the Yankees’ last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

• Over is 7-3-1 in the Yankees’ last 11 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 4-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 road games.

• Under is 5-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 8 games following a loss.

Seattle Mariners over/under predictions:

• Over is 4-1-2 in the Mariners’ last 7 games played overall.

• Over is 4-0-2 in the Mariners’ last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Over is 3-0-1 in the Mariners’ last 4 against the American League East division.

• Over is 5-1 in the Mariners’ last 6 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Over is 9-2 in the Mariners’ last 11 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Over is 4-1-2 in the Mariners’ last 7 games played on grass.

• Over is 4-1-1 in the Mariners’ last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

• Over is 4-1-1 in the Mariners’ last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 4-1-1 in the Mariners’ last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 20-6-2 in the Mariners’ last 28 games when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Under is 20-7 in the Mariners’ last 27 home games versus a right-handed starter.

• Under is 9-4-1 in the Mariners’ last 14 games versus a right-handed starter.

• Under is 24-11-1 in the Mariners’ last 36 home games.

• Under is 23-11-1 in the Mariners’ last 35 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 5-1-1 in the Mariners’ last 7 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Under is 5-1 in the Mariners’ last 6 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

Both pitchers have been tagged hard in their recent assignments. Taillon is pitching to an ERA of 5.71 in his last seven starts while Gilbert has tallied 4.54 during the same span. These two matched up last weekend at the Bronx and their teams combined to score 14 total runs.

The Yankees’ average total this season is 8.67 runs per game and on the road, that goes up to 8.82 runs per contest. Meanwhile, Seattle has averaged a total of 7.92 runs per game this season and 7.59 runs per game in their home games this year.

These two teams have combined to score an average of 8.3 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, and 11.0 runs per game in their most recent three head-to-head encounters.

New York has seen the total hit double-digit in six out of its last nine games played while Seattle has seen a combined 9+ runs in six out of their last 10 games played. Give me these teams to hit the over.

Prediction: OVER

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